Is the 2025 Bull Run still on? Will there be an alt season?
I don't know that survival of a week of bad CPI and PPI data is enough to confirm that.
But there is some evidence that the massive wick to the downside on 2/2 for alts (this chart shows the 'OTHERS' index, the true alts, those out of the top ten in market cap) constitutes a bottom.
The latter was, I think, part of the largest liquidation event in the history of cryptocurrency. $2.2 billion, quite a shakeout.
What the 2D on 'OTHERS' shows me: >Support of price action on the 100d & 200d SMA's (and the tightness of of the two). >The acute bullish SMT Divergence vs BTC. (The drop in BTC, in itself, wasn't remarkable.) >Long signals on multiple momentum indicators. (I show, here, Cipher B and Lux Algo's Oscillator.)
What I still need to see in order to invest in an Alt Season: >A return of price action into the Value Area formed by 2024 price action. (A couple daily closes above the VAL? Or, better still, a weekly close above it?) >A consistent increase in volume, the flow of money into the space. (Without out such, the 'rally' we've seen in spite of bad economic news, is likely to peter out.) >Signs that BTC's excruciating slumber is over and that it is ready to take another shot at price discovery.
I do pay especial notice to those alts that have out performed 'OTHERS'. They are worth watching in March.
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