Oil Comparisons
OXY has the majority of its EV tied up in oil/gas and with the recent OPEC fallout it may make sense as a long.
More research on extraction costs should probably be done because there may be a serious problem for the firm if oil prices are kept low and operations are not profitable. A minor portion of noncurrent assets is in chemicals and marketing but not enough to say it will determine where the firm will go in terms of price.
Carl Icahn increased his stake to 10% but this may have been more of averaging down his position since he originally entered near ~$60 a share or in that region so buying in at around $14 a share would mean more control in the firm for less of an investment.
Short term I expect dividends to be slashed, I will be very surprised if they post net profit at the next earnings as the oil price shock should have killed their margins.
Intermediate to long term, potentially an acquisition target for and XOM or CVX (my guess is CVX because of the Andarko swipe) but it's hard for me to see what else bad can come out for the firm. Oil prices being slashed is likely the worst possible thing and with the coronavirus disrupting trade it really makes sense for OPEC to collude in order to fund government aid. Saudi Arabia/Russia don't have too much of a problem with the outbreak but with decreases in travel and commerce due to governmental bans externalities may force both back to the table.
Or at the least create a stronger incentive for collusion as both will have a need to financing
More research on extraction costs should probably be done because there may be a serious problem for the firm if oil prices are kept low and operations are not profitable. A minor portion of noncurrent assets is in chemicals and marketing but not enough to say it will determine where the firm will go in terms of price.
Carl Icahn increased his stake to 10% but this may have been more of averaging down his position since he originally entered near ~$60 a share or in that region so buying in at around $14 a share would mean more control in the firm for less of an investment.
Short term I expect dividends to be slashed, I will be very surprised if they post net profit at the next earnings as the oil price shock should have killed their margins.
Intermediate to long term, potentially an acquisition target for and XOM or CVX (my guess is CVX because of the Andarko swipe) but it's hard for me to see what else bad can come out for the firm. Oil prices being slashed is likely the worst possible thing and with the coronavirus disrupting trade it really makes sense for OPEC to collude in order to fund government aid. Saudi Arabia/Russia don't have too much of a problem with the outbreak but with decreases in travel and commerce due to governmental bans externalities may force both back to the table.
Or at the least create a stronger incentive for collusion as both will have a need to financing
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