Sentiment: Bullish. AI and government contract hype drives enthusiasm, though valuation risks noted. Chatter lean bullish, citing growth momentum.
Outlook: Neutral, slightly bearish. Options pin $88, with $85 puts active. ICT/SMT eyes $86-$88 buys to $92 if $86 holds. Bearish below $86 risks $80.
Influential News:
Federal Reserve: Two 2025 cuts aid growth stocks, positive for $PLTR.
Earnings: Q1 due early May; no update today.
Chatter: Bullish on AI/contracts, some warn of pullback.
Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A): No confirmed
PLTR M&A; partnership expansions rumored.
Other: Tariff volatility hit tech;PLTR resilient.
Indicators:
Weekly:
RSI: ~75 (overbought).
Stochastic: ~85 (overbought).
MFI: ~80 (overbought).
SMAs: 10-day ~$86 (above, bullish), 20-day ~$85 (above, bullish).
Interpretation: Overbought, bullish SMAs suggest pullback risk.
Daily:
RSI: ~72 (overbought).
Stochastic: ~80 (overbought).
MFI: ~75 (overbought).
SMAs: 10-day ~$86 (above, bullish), 20-day ~$85 (above, bullish).
Interpretation: Overbought, bullish SMAs but caution warranted.
Hourly:
RSI: ~70 (neutral).
Stochastic: ~75 (overbought).
MFI: ~70 (neutral).
SMAs: 10-day ~$86 (above, bullish), 20-day ~$85 (above, bullish).
Interpretation: Overbought, bullish momentum fading.
Price Context: $88.55, 1M: +2%, 1Y: +303%. Range $80-$92, testing $88 resistance.
Options Positioning (May 2025):
Volume:
Calls: $90 (10,000, 60% ask), $95 (8,000, 55% ask). Bullish bets on $90+.
Puts: $85 (7,000, 70% bid), $80 (5,000, 65% bid). Put buying grows.
Open Interest:
Calls: $90 (30,000, +5,000), $95 (20,000, +4,000). Bullish positions.
Puts: $85 (18,000, +3,000), $80 (15,000, +2,000). Hedging. Put-call ~0.7.
IV Skew:
Calls: $90 (45%), $95 (47%, up 3%). $95 IV rise shows upside bets.
Puts: $85 (40%, up 2%), $80 (38%). Rising $85 IV signals downside fear.
Probability: 60% $80-$92, 20% <$80.
Karsan’s Interpretation:
Vanna: Positive (~200k shares/1% IV). IV drop could pressure $88.
Charm: Positive (~100k shares/day). Pins $88.
GEX: +80,000. Caps upside.
DEX: +4M shares, bullish.
Karsan view: High GEX limits $92+; pullback to $85 likely.
ICT/SMT Analysis:
Weekly: Bearish at $88 OB, targets $85. Bullish > $92.
Daily: Bearish at $88 FVG, targets $85. Bullish > $90.
1-Hour: Bearish < $88, $85 target. MSS at $90.
10-Minute: OTE ($87-$88.50, $87.75) for sells, NY AM.
Trade Idea:
Bullish: 45%. ICT/SMT buys $86-$88 to $92. Options favor $90 calls. AI hype supports.
Neutral: 30%. $80-$92 range, balanced options.
Bearish: 25%. Below $85 likely with overbought signals. $85 put volume rises.
Outlook: Neutral, slightly bearish. Options pin $88, with $85 puts active. ICT/SMT eyes $86-$88 buys to $92 if $86 holds. Bearish below $86 risks $80.
Influential News:
Federal Reserve: Two 2025 cuts aid growth stocks, positive for $PLTR.
Earnings: Q1 due early May; no update today.
Chatter: Bullish on AI/contracts, some warn of pullback.
Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A): No confirmed
PLTR M&A; partnership expansions rumored.Other: Tariff volatility hit tech;
PLTR resilient.Indicators:
Weekly:
RSI: ~75 (overbought).
Stochastic: ~85 (overbought).
MFI: ~80 (overbought).
SMAs: 10-day ~$86 (above, bullish), 20-day ~$85 (above, bullish).
Interpretation: Overbought, bullish SMAs suggest pullback risk.
Daily:
RSI: ~72 (overbought).
Stochastic: ~80 (overbought).
MFI: ~75 (overbought).
SMAs: 10-day ~$86 (above, bullish), 20-day ~$85 (above, bullish).
Interpretation: Overbought, bullish SMAs but caution warranted.
Hourly:
RSI: ~70 (neutral).
Stochastic: ~75 (overbought).
MFI: ~70 (neutral).
SMAs: 10-day ~$86 (above, bullish), 20-day ~$85 (above, bullish).
Interpretation: Overbought, bullish momentum fading.
Price Context: $88.55, 1M: +2%, 1Y: +303%. Range $80-$92, testing $88 resistance.
Options Positioning (May 2025):
Volume:
Calls: $90 (10,000, 60% ask), $95 (8,000, 55% ask). Bullish bets on $90+.
Puts: $85 (7,000, 70% bid), $80 (5,000, 65% bid). Put buying grows.
Open Interest:
Calls: $90 (30,000, +5,000), $95 (20,000, +4,000). Bullish positions.
Puts: $85 (18,000, +3,000), $80 (15,000, +2,000). Hedging. Put-call ~0.7.
IV Skew:
Calls: $90 (45%), $95 (47%, up 3%). $95 IV rise shows upside bets.
Puts: $85 (40%, up 2%), $80 (38%). Rising $85 IV signals downside fear.
Probability: 60% $80-$92, 20% <$80.
Karsan’s Interpretation:
Vanna: Positive (~200k shares/1% IV). IV drop could pressure $88.
Charm: Positive (~100k shares/day). Pins $88.
GEX: +80,000. Caps upside.
DEX: +4M shares, bullish.
Karsan view: High GEX limits $92+; pullback to $85 likely.
ICT/SMT Analysis:
Weekly: Bearish at $88 OB, targets $85. Bullish > $92.
Daily: Bearish at $88 FVG, targets $85. Bullish > $90.
1-Hour: Bearish < $88, $85 target. MSS at $90.
10-Minute: OTE ($87-$88.50, $87.75) for sells, NY AM.
Trade Idea:
Bullish: 45%. ICT/SMT buys $86-$88 to $92. Options favor $90 calls. AI hype supports.
Neutral: 30%. $80-$92 range, balanced options.
Bearish: 25%. Below $85 likely with overbought signals. $85 put volume rises.
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.