I'm Bullish. Here's Why
Updated
Hi Traders,
PLTR is oversold on the 2HR, 4HR, and daily charts and has nearly completed a corrective wave. This corrective wave is denoted by the yellow ABC pattern (also known as a Zig Zag pattern) in Elliot Wave analysis. The Wave Trend indicator is extremely oversold since the signal is far below the green boundary as shown on the chart. I anticipate PLTR will close the small gap around the $14.96-$15.94 area, which is also a BULLISH demand zone and a trend support zone. I've decided to use this area as an entry zone. Once price is in this area, consider a bullish position targeting $17. If PLTR closes above $17, target $18.64 based on harmonic pattern analysis, which currently indicates a bullish Gartley. Here's my bullish case, strictly using Technical Analysis:
Harmonics
PLTR is showing three bullish harmonic patterns (Gartley, Black Swan, and Anti-Nen Star). I'd like to focus on the gartley pattern, which statistically has a 75% likelihood in reaching T1 ($18.66). In the chart below, you can also see the oversold RSI at a value of 28.74
Price Action
There is a bearish order block around the $14.75 as denoted in the chart below. Bearish traders sold PLTR back in NOV 23, but PLTR didn't decline further in price. Instead, it gapped up, which indicates Bearish traders exhausted their selling power and will likely be eager to close their positions by buying PLTR at this price point, thereby constituting a bullish demand zone.
Trends
Trend resistance is $16.98 with trend support at $14.40 as denoted by the trend lines on the chart below. The 200 period moving average (yellow line) is $14.80, which coincides with trend line support, gap analysis, and price action order blocks. I consider this strong support for now. The 9 period (purple line) 21 period (blue line) moving averages act as resistance (for now) and are $16.74 and $17.31 respectively. Both coincide with trend resistance at $16.98. The chart also shows positive divergence on the VMMACD and MACD indicators.
Trading Plan
I trade options, and while I do own several hundred shares of PLTR, I generate income by selling CALL and PUT options based on the volatility (i.e. price swings) of PLTR. Since I anticipate PLTR is nearing a LOW, I will likely sell several $14 or $15 PUTs option with a 45 DTE (Date Till Expiration) to collect premium. When PLTR reaches my upside targets, I will sell COVERED CALL options (maybe $18 or $19 strikes) to collect premium, because I know that these upside targets act as supply zones (i.e resistance) and price may decline from these areas.
Happy Trading!
PLTR is oversold on the 2HR, 4HR, and daily charts and has nearly completed a corrective wave. This corrective wave is denoted by the yellow ABC pattern (also known as a Zig Zag pattern) in Elliot Wave analysis. The Wave Trend indicator is extremely oversold since the signal is far below the green boundary as shown on the chart. I anticipate PLTR will close the small gap around the $14.96-$15.94 area, which is also a BULLISH demand zone and a trend support zone. I've decided to use this area as an entry zone. Once price is in this area, consider a bullish position targeting $17. If PLTR closes above $17, target $18.64 based on harmonic pattern analysis, which currently indicates a bullish Gartley. Here's my bullish case, strictly using Technical Analysis:
Harmonics
PLTR is showing three bullish harmonic patterns (Gartley, Black Swan, and Anti-Nen Star). I'd like to focus on the gartley pattern, which statistically has a 75% likelihood in reaching T1 ($18.66). In the chart below, you can also see the oversold RSI at a value of 28.74
Price Action
There is a bearish order block around the $14.75 as denoted in the chart below. Bearish traders sold PLTR back in NOV 23, but PLTR didn't decline further in price. Instead, it gapped up, which indicates Bearish traders exhausted their selling power and will likely be eager to close their positions by buying PLTR at this price point, thereby constituting a bullish demand zone.
Trends
Trend resistance is $16.98 with trend support at $14.40 as denoted by the trend lines on the chart below. The 200 period moving average (yellow line) is $14.80, which coincides with trend line support, gap analysis, and price action order blocks. I consider this strong support for now. The 9 period (purple line) 21 period (blue line) moving averages act as resistance (for now) and are $16.74 and $17.31 respectively. Both coincide with trend resistance at $16.98. The chart also shows positive divergence on the VMMACD and MACD indicators.
Trading Plan
I trade options, and while I do own several hundred shares of PLTR, I generate income by selling CALL and PUT options based on the volatility (i.e. price swings) of PLTR. Since I anticipate PLTR is nearing a LOW, I will likely sell several $14 or $15 PUTs option with a 45 DTE (Date Till Expiration) to collect premium. When PLTR reaches my upside targets, I will sell COVERED CALL options (maybe $18 or $19 strikes) to collect premium, because I know that these upside targets act as supply zones (i.e resistance) and price may decline from these areas.
Happy Trading!
Trade active
STO 2/16 18C (Bearish)I opened this position, because:
- I saw a bit of resistance at the $16.75 level
- PLTR didn't close the $15 GAP, which was my entry zone
- Hidden negative divergence on the 120 chart
- Price is currently in the Trend Resistance
- Money Flow OSC is bearish
If my idea is wrong and PLTR rips UP from here, I will still collect $$$ in stock appreciation + the premium I collected from selling the call.
Note
Still waiting on my entry to go long. Nice Bear FLAG with a $13 target.
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