The chart illustrates a possible Elliott Wave count on a weekly time frame, identifying key waves and corrective patterns. Here’s a detailed breakdown:
1. Primary Wave Structure: - The chart shows an unfolding five-wave impulsive structure, with Waves (1) through (4) completed, indicating a bullish phase followed by corrective waves. - Wave (1) is observed in November 2010, and Wave (2) is identified around September 2013. - Wave (3) peaks significantly higher than Wave (1), indicating a strong bullish phase, and completes near April 2022. - Waves 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5 within Wave (3) are clearly marked, showing the internal structure of this impulsive wave.
2. Corrective Waves: - After the peak of Wave (3), the chart illustrates a complex corrective pattern labeled as W-X-Y-X-Z. - This correction appears to end at Wave (4), indicating the start of a new potential impulsive wave (Wave (5)). - The corrective waves show significant price declines, characteristic of Elliott Wave corrections.
3. Current Scenario and Target: - The current price action suggests the initiation of Wave (5). - The target for Wave (5) is projected to be above the high of Wave (3), which is near 2880 INR. - An upward arrow indicates the bullish outlook, projecting the price towards this target level.
4. Invalidation Level: - An invalidation level is marked at 751. If the price falls below this level, the current Elliott Wave count and bullish scenario would be invalidated. - This level acts as a critical support, below which the wave count may need to be re-evaluated.
Summary and Considerations
- Bullish Outlook: The primary analysis suggests a bullish wave (Wave (5)) is underway, targeting levels above the previous high of 2880. - Key Support: The invalidation level at 751 is crucial for maintaining the bullish scenario. - Risks: As noted in the disclaimer, Elliott Wave Theory involves multiple possibilities and inherent risks. It's important to consider this analysis as one potential scenario.
Investors and traders should consult with financial advisors and consider broader market conditions, as well as other technical indicators, before making investment decisions based on this analysis.
This analysis provides an educational perspective on using Elliott Wave Theory for Polyplex Corporation Ltd. and highlights the importance of monitoring critical price levels to validate the wave counts.
I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
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