If this goes up 3% than the spy broke the downward trend line.

Bullish reasons. Massive amounts of puts and shorts (Squeeze). Think of a teeter totter. Bonds are coming down meaning lower rates in the future = Fed pivot.

Bearish reasons. Massive, inverted yield curve. Still in downward channel in charts. China seems to be coming close to invading Taiwan. Smart money is going bearish.

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