This is a pure technical thesis: For almost two years we have stayed in a long term downtrend, 9 attempted breakouts failed over the course of this period. From a purely technical standpoint ignoring longer term fundamental news, the odds of a failed breakout above this level are 9/10. Nothing has invalidated the trend as of this point, we are trading with the trend here. I also noted divergence across multiple indicators, a slowing of bullish momentum, and averages that all are pointing downwards. RSI is posed for a classic death cross from the overbought zone on the daily chart. With all of this being said I noted a higher imbalance that while miniscule will still be accounted for. I have marked two different short term route predictions I believe price will follow starting at open on Monday. One predicts price follows the trend like a puppy, while the other takes into account a possible imbalance filling / liquidity grab.
Overall outlook for the next few weeks is Bearish.
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.