The attached chart provides a technical analysis of silver (XAGUSD) on a 75-minute timeframe, highlighting its movement through a series of Elliott Waves and technical formations that signal potential price targets. Currently, silver appears to be starting its 5th wave, indicating an upward movement that could drive prices significantly higher in the near term.
Key Technical Insights: Falling Wedge Pattern: The chart reveals a falling wedge formation in wave (4), typically a bullish reversal pattern. As silver broke out of this formation, it confirmed the beginning of wave (5), marking a shift in trend towards an upward trajectory.
Wave Count: According to Elliott Wave Theory, silver has completed waves (1), (2), (3), and (4) and is now entering wave (5). This final impulse wave often signals a continuation of the bullish trend, pushing prices to new highs before a potential reversal or corrective phase.
Current Price Action and Initial Target:
Starting Point: Silver has started its 5th wave from a recent low of $32.264. Target 1: The immediate price target for this wave is $34.50. This target is based on the previous resistance level and aligns with technical indicators that suggest upward momentum. Fibonacci Extension Target:
If the 5th wave gains strong momentum and reaches 1.618 times the length of wave (1), silver could potentially reach the $35.595 mark. The 1.618 Fibonacci extension level is often associated with the completion of strong impulsive waves, providing a secondary target for bullish traders. Supporting Indicators: Moving Averages and Bollinger Bands: The chart shows silver moving along key moving averages with the Bollinger Bands expanding, indicating increased volatility and room for price movement within the upward trend. Volume: An increase in trading volume supports the breakout, indicating that buyers are entering the market, further strengthening the bullish outlook. Summary With the breakout from the falling wedge and the start of the 5th wave, silver is positioned for a potential rally towards $34.50, with an extended target of $35.595 if momentum continues. Traders should watch for price action around these levels, as they could present opportunities for profit-taking or further breakout trades if bullish sentiment remains strong. However, caution is advised as silver approaches these resistance levels, as a reversal could occur once the 5th wave completes.
Silver's price action over the next few sessions will be critical in confirming the strength of this upward movement and whether it can achieve the anticipated Fibonacci extension level.
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