Silver the sad metal

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It's Friday and today's post is of less serious nature. Sometimes it's good to have a little fun and get back to very serious posts next week.

Gold and Silver often are part of the same conversation. It makes sense Silver and Gold price data have a correlation coefficient of approximately 0.80 over the past 20 years. I mean they are like to inseparable friends that have been doing everything together since before you or I were born.

So someone might ask hey silver why are you still sleeping. No new high since 2011 now for some of us that feels like just yesterday. Let's break it down though a child born in 2011 is now in Grade 9. Hope that silver was not to pay for their college fees.

A typical basket of groceries went up by over 42.94% according to CPI change. (Which is probably low since the basket changes and manipulates inflation numbers.) That puts current silver purchasing power at about ~$25 value of its 2011 price. Congrats 14 years later Silver half what it bought in 2011. That store of value is more like frosty the snow man in the summer time. Silver made the same price high in 1980 I'd tell you about it but I am not old enough. Let's ignore that for now.

Come on now it's not all gloom out there. Jokes aside. Silver price has moved up significantly since 2020 low around $11. What do we know about assets that break out after a long time stuck under a price point. Typically as some would say they go to the moon. Don't expect that here. Why it's been 45 years. If silver meets up with his old friend Gold he will remind his old friend that he is the more volatile of the two. Forget the moon it would be a space race to mars. My most conservative target would be $100. The 1.618 FIB retracement level. By that metric Gold is already at its 2 FIB retracement level. For silver that's 165.

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