Can S&P 500 Maintain Uptrend After Hitting Resistance at 4,320?
Mechanical aspects of the market took over on Friday after the surprise job report. The job growth was nearly double what was expected, while unemployment and wage growth were basically within the same range they had been for months.
So, if there is progress in the labor market softening, it is tough to find, and the pace at which wage growth is coming down is way too slow to meet the Fed’s 2% inflation target anytime soon. The Fed needs wage growth closer to 3%, which is still over 4%. And while this job data alone isn’t likely enough to raise rates in November, it just pushes out the timeline for rates to stay higher.
So, if there is progress in the labor market softening, it is tough to find, and the pace at which wage growth is coming down is way too slow to meet the Fed’s 2% inflation target anytime soon. The Fed needs wage growth closer to 3%, which is still over 4%. And while this job data alone isn’t likely enough to raise rates in November, it just pushes out the timeline for rates to stay higher.
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