Post-Trump Dump: Bear Bias Validated | SPX Analysis 03 April 2025
Well, we’re officially post-Trump-dump, and the market’s not exactly throwing a parade about it.
Futures have dropped nearly 200 points and are camped out near the lows as I write this. It’s shaping up to be one of those "big gap, big drama" mornings – the kind that rewards patience and punishes panic.
And while every headline’s now spinning a narrative about tariffs, Trump, and trade wars…
Our community was already leaning in the right direction:
Buy the rumour, sell the news. ✔️
No surprise here.
My discretionary override to stay bearish below 5700 is paying off.
No whim. Just discipline.
So, what’s next?
Simple. Stick to the plan.
---
Market Cracks, But I’m Not Calling a Collapse
Let’s get this out of the way first:
I don’t think this is the Big One.
No market apocalypse. No Armageddon. No bunker required.
This looks more like a tariff reset than total collapse - a sharp repricing, not a system failure.
But that doesn’t mean there’s no money to be made.
Far from it.
Here’s what I’m doing right now:
Bearish swings are active and in profit below 5700.
Aggressive add-ins under 5500 using:
Pulse bars
10-min Tag ‘n Turn setups
GEX flip has slid to 5640, but I’m still anchored at 5700.
Why? Because a few ticks don’t warrant overcomplicating.
I’ll reassess GEX levels at the open for any spicy shifts.
And importantly…
My bull swing hedge might finally be worth something - giving me room to de-risk last week’s exposure while continuing to profit on the downside.
---
🎯 Expert Insights – Don’t Change the Plan for Clickbait
Here’s what most traders get wrong on days like this:
❌ They abandon their bias because of headlines.
❌ They tinker with rules based on GEX micro-movements.
❌ They overreact to volatility instead of letting price confirm action.
What I’ve learned (the hard way, years ago):
✅ Structure matters more than spin.
If you had your levels mapped, this wasn’t a surprise.
✅ Your plan is only as good as your commitment to it.
Today is just another reason why I remain bearish until 5700 breaks.
✅ Reacting emotionally to news is a rookie mistake.
Today’s dump was just a fast-forward to what was already brewing.
🧠 Fun Fact
In 2018, when Trump first tweeted about tariffs, the market dropped over 1,100 points in a single session - then rebounded completely within 3 weeks.
Moral of the story?
Markets overreact. Patterns don’t.
Your job is to follow the pattern – not the press conference.
---
Video & Audio Podcast
On Main Blog
Happy trading,
Phil
Less Brain, More Gain
…and may your trades be smoother than a cashmere codpiece
---
p.s.Want to Stay Calm in Market Chaos?
Today proves the value of:
✅ A mechanical strategy
✅ A clear structure
✅ And a mindset built for turbulence
Join the Fast Forward Mentorship - trade live, twice a week, with me and the crew. PLUS Monthly on-demand 1-2-1's
Learn how to profit from panic - without the panic.
Or watch the free training to see the SPX Income System in action.
Let’s trade this system together - real time, real trades, real profit.
LINK IN BIO
Well, we’re officially post-Trump-dump, and the market’s not exactly throwing a parade about it.
Futures have dropped nearly 200 points and are camped out near the lows as I write this. It’s shaping up to be one of those "big gap, big drama" mornings – the kind that rewards patience and punishes panic.
And while every headline’s now spinning a narrative about tariffs, Trump, and trade wars…
Our community was already leaning in the right direction:
Buy the rumour, sell the news. ✔️
No surprise here.
My discretionary override to stay bearish below 5700 is paying off.
No whim. Just discipline.
So, what’s next?
Simple. Stick to the plan.
---
Market Cracks, But I’m Not Calling a Collapse
Let’s get this out of the way first:
I don’t think this is the Big One.
No market apocalypse. No Armageddon. No bunker required.
This looks more like a tariff reset than total collapse - a sharp repricing, not a system failure.
But that doesn’t mean there’s no money to be made.
Far from it.
Here’s what I’m doing right now:
Bearish swings are active and in profit below 5700.
Aggressive add-ins under 5500 using:
Pulse bars
10-min Tag ‘n Turn setups
GEX flip has slid to 5640, but I’m still anchored at 5700.
Why? Because a few ticks don’t warrant overcomplicating.
I’ll reassess GEX levels at the open for any spicy shifts.
And importantly…
My bull swing hedge might finally be worth something - giving me room to de-risk last week’s exposure while continuing to profit on the downside.
---
🎯 Expert Insights – Don’t Change the Plan for Clickbait
Here’s what most traders get wrong on days like this:
❌ They abandon their bias because of headlines.
❌ They tinker with rules based on GEX micro-movements.
❌ They overreact to volatility instead of letting price confirm action.
What I’ve learned (the hard way, years ago):
✅ Structure matters more than spin.
If you had your levels mapped, this wasn’t a surprise.
✅ Your plan is only as good as your commitment to it.
Today is just another reason why I remain bearish until 5700 breaks.
✅ Reacting emotionally to news is a rookie mistake.
Today’s dump was just a fast-forward to what was already brewing.
🧠 Fun Fact
In 2018, when Trump first tweeted about tariffs, the market dropped over 1,100 points in a single session - then rebounded completely within 3 weeks.
Moral of the story?
Markets overreact. Patterns don’t.
Your job is to follow the pattern – not the press conference.
---
Video & Audio Podcast
On Main Blog
Happy trading,
Phil
Less Brain, More Gain
…and may your trades be smoother than a cashmere codpiece
---
p.s.Want to Stay Calm in Market Chaos?
Today proves the value of:
✅ A mechanical strategy
✅ A clear structure
✅ And a mindset built for turbulence
Join the Fast Forward Mentorship - trade live, twice a week, with me and the crew. PLUS Monthly on-demand 1-2-1's
Learn how to profit from panic - without the panic.
Or watch the free training to see the SPX Income System in action.
Let’s trade this system together - real time, real trades, real profit.
LINK IN BIO
Full-time trader and mentor since 2001
Focusing on short term income swings with SPX options, futures and occasionally stocks.
Focusing on short term income swings with SPX options, futures and occasionally stocks.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Full-time trader and mentor since 2001
Focusing on short term income swings with SPX options, futures and occasionally stocks.
Focusing on short term income swings with SPX options, futures and occasionally stocks.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.