SPX Bearish Nenstar (Shark) completing at 3047-3060
Updated
Bearish Nenstar harmonic, cousin to shark, cypher, bat/butterfly patterns; a Gartley variant. Typically the selloff from pattern completion at D is a .50 retracement of the CD leg up. In this case, price would be expected to drop ~150 pips to close the gap at 2864.
Nenstar and Cypher patterns are variants of Sharks. Basic form: C is lower than A. In Bearish Butterflies & Gartleys, C is higher than A.
Sharks: Nenstar D is higher than X, Cypher D is lower than X. All variants of the same theme = 'W' pattern leading to price correction.
Nice examples here: traderslaboratory.com/forums/topic/10747-new-patterns-for-harmonic-traders/
NB: Final move C-D in Nenstar may extend to 1.272 - 2.00 of A-B. In this case, 147 pips for AB x 2.00 = 3060, maximum pattern height.
This is just an idea and in no way constitutes investment advice; GLTA!!
Nenstar and Cypher patterns are variants of Sharks. Basic form: C is lower than A. In Bearish Butterflies & Gartleys, C is higher than A.
Sharks: Nenstar D is higher than X, Cypher D is lower than X. All variants of the same theme = 'W' pattern leading to price correction.
Nice examples here: traderslaboratory.com/forums/topic/10747-new-patterns-for-harmonic-traders/
NB: Final move C-D in Nenstar may extend to 1.272 - 2.00 of A-B. In this case, 147 pips for AB x 2.00 = 3060, maximum pattern height.
This is just an idea and in no way constitutes investment advice; GLTA!!
Trade active
Entered positions in SPY @ 300, QQQ @230, IWM @ 140, DIA @255 in June puts; short Friday's expiring dailies in $5 bear spreads. GLTA!!And holding FB Jun puts @ 222.5 in $5 bear spread against Fri 217.5P.
Note
Price rises to the target zone in choppy volatile trade; VIX also rising. Bearish IMOTrade active
Going whole hog; added 5 spreads to each position now in 110 bear spreads. Shark will bite very soon IMO.Pushback in early trade from 3050. Divergence in DJT and RUT, warning signs.
Scarce volume. Break imminent IMO
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Adjusted: Rolled the FB spread up to 225 strike and rolled the short leg down to 05 Jun 212.5 for net debit of 0.10c.Note
Major indices forming rising wedges intraday. Bear Flags IMOTrade active
This is the nailbiting teeth gritting cliff hanger moment when it looks so G-D'd Bullish u feel "FFS I MIGHT BE WRONG!"But indicators are Bearish, volume not confirm price, all the news is grim, the irrational exuberance will break soon IMO.
Made out like a bandit on the short legs, sold contracts for 88c in the AM and covered for a dime. Still looking at drawdown but IWM position is green. Rolled weeklies down $2 and out to 5 Jun.
Shorting is really tough when you get into this position it takes steel nerves to hold on. NOT letting the bulls shake me loose this time!
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Increasng divergence in DJT, RUT as the rally weakens. IWM puts jumping...Note
Got a helluva shooting star on the day in DJI, NQ; SPX holding up EOD. The Nenstar sells.Trade closed manually
Taking risk off over weekend ! made out like bandit on these positions, take what the market gives you!! GLTA!!Note
3140 is the 0.786 retracement; we might see it IMOTrade active
Opening gap on 6/01 filled as expected, re-entering short positions on the gapfill rally; in June 30 puts in bear spreads vs. 5 Jun weeklies on: QQQ 233
SPY 304
DIA 255
IWM 140
FB 230
Short legs spread various strikes bewteen $8-10 OTM; opening with 6 contracts in each spread
Note
Increased pos to 10 contracts in each spread; there's a clear 5-wave EW intraday formed. OFC it can get higher; these pos are all hedged spreads.Trade active
Another monster wedge forming intraday... testing the 3060 top as expected. Adding to shorts, rolled up the short legs on SPY for nice day trade, now in 03 Jun 302P.Note
Took another nice day gain off the FB short legs rolled 220s up to 222.5s, Friday weeklies. Added 5 spreads.Note
Added 5 bear spreads on QQQ Jul10 233P v Jun05 227PTrade active
Double topped IMO, nominal slightly higher top on 6/02. Legged out and back in on the above positions, rolled up to next higher strikes in each. Took nice gains on the short legs, rolled those down and out.Note
Heavy short here on the intraday double top at weekly double top... rollover imminent IMOShort: DIA SPY QQQ IWM FB
Trade active
Yeah it's damage control now. Rolled the short legs up for gain to cut drawdown on long legs in half. Rolled up the strikes on long legs; gaps will fill. Madness IMO; caught in a Bear Trap!Note
Look out for short covering forced liquidation rally extension at 1400 EST, when brokers dump unmet margin calls at market.Note
Rolled the short legs up still in Friday expiratoin, $2 spreads now in case forced liquidations and short covering EOD drives NQ back to ATH... expect SPX, DJI to get the 0.786 Fib by Friday.Note
Yep here's the 2PM pop right on schedule!Note
My goodness! Such FOMO! What MOMO! Holding short and rolling the short legs again, lol. Hedged with calls at noon which did rather nicely. Will hold those overnight!Note
NB: short squeeze pressure is diminished as most of the weak hands have been forced out over the past 2 weeks, especially in past 2 sessions, there was a nice EOD squeeze on Tues and again Weds, not quite as fierce. By Friday most forced liquidations will have been executed by brokers.The subsequent free fall when smart money distributes their shares will be most impressive, a vertical selloff, no short stops to take out.
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NQ 100 reached ATH on 3 Jun, FAANG MOMO speculation, up 6%.Trade active
Decisive pushback from 0.786 Fibo. Rejected 6/04 below 6/03 high (3131). Confirm trend change on Friday IMOAdded to shorts in QQQ IWM DIA SPY FB
Note
Rejecting!Trade closed manually
Idea invalidated by current events, closed out all on stop!
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