Buckle Up for a Potential Downturn in the Stock Market The S&P 500 might be headed for a reversal, despite the recent optimism. Here's why:
Reaching the Peak?
Previous CALL
The S&P 500's surge could be nearing its end, potentially marking the conclusion of wave 5 in an Elliott Wave pattern. This signifies a potential peak before a correction. The rising wedge formation on the chart hints at a loss of momentum and a possible reversal. Weakening Strength:
The bullish breakout narrative might be losing steam. The retest of the previous resistance zone could be a failed attempt to establish new support, indicating a potential breakdown. Bearish divergence is emerging between the price and the Relative Strength Index (RSI). This means the RSI is not confirming the price highs, suggesting weakening buying pressure. Shallow Corrections, Not Bullish Signs:
Recent shallow corrections might not be a sign of strength, but rather a characteristic of a topping pattern before a decline. Trading Volume:
While high trading volume accompanied the breakout, it's crucial to monitor if it can be sustained during the retest. Lower volume during the retest could signal a weakening breakout. Target: Revisit of Support or Lower
The 4,800 target might be overly optimistic. A revisit of the previous support level, or even a breakdown below that, is a more likely scenario based on the technical indicators. Remember:
Technical analysis is just one piece of the puzzle. Always use it alongside other forms of analysis and avoid making investment decisions solely based on this information.
Stay Cautious:
This analysis suggests a potential shift towards a bearish market. Be vigilant and manage your investments accordingly.
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