Target Sputters as Market Recovers

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Target has sputtered as the broader market recovers, and some traders may think the retailer has further downside risk.

The first pattern on today’s chart is the steady decline between early February and early April. TGT tried to stabilize after the move but barely rebounded. It also failed to hold the rally on May 12 after Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent cut tariffs on China. That feeble price action may suggest sellers remain in control.

Second, the stock spent about a month at its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) early this year before continuing lower. It’s now spent about three weeks at the same line without closing above it. Is the intermediate-term trend still bearish?

Third, the move between April 8 and May 20 may be viewed as a potentially bearish flag that’s now broken to the downside.

Next, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) recently crossed below the 21-day EMA. MACD has also turned negative. Those patterns may reflect a bearish short-term trend.

Finally, TGT is an active underlier in the options market. (It averages more than 70,000 contracts per day, according to TradeStation data.) That could help traders take positions with calls and puts.

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