Toll Brothers, Inc.
Long

TOL (Toll Brothers, Inc.) TA & Trade Idea

13

Short-term Outlook (1–4 Weeks):
• Analysis: Oversold stochastic oscillator showing bullish crossover potential. Price approaching strong historical support near $90–$95. Candlesticks indicate seller exhaustion.
• Trade Direction: Long
• Confidence Score: 75% (Bullish reversal likely)

Medium-term Outlook (1–3 Months):
• Analysis: Significant correction from recent highs (~$150). Price action likely to consolidate near current levels. Bullish divergence forming on weekly indicators suggests recovery rally could target resistance at ~$110.
• Trade Direction: Cautiously Long (Target: $110)
• Confidence Score: 70% (Possible consolidation then bounce)

Long-term Outlook (6–12 Months):
• Analysis: Strong multi-year uptrend intact despite deep retracement. Price well above multi-year support levels (around $75–$85). Long-term fundamentals and weekly chart suggest continuation of bullish long-term trend after current correction completes.
• Trade Direction: Long (Buy-and-hold)
• Confidence Score: 80% (Bullish long-term trend intact)


Trade Summary:
• Short-term: Long from current oversold levels ($93).
• Medium-term: Hold/add positions targeting recovery to $110.
• Long-term: Maintain bullish stance targeting previous highs ($130–$150) over 6–12 months.



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