📅 Date: 10/05/2025🕒 Timeframe: 4H
🔍 Market Bias:
Trend direction: Uptrend in the short term
Key structure:
Higher highs and higher lows on both Daily and 4H
Fundamental Bias:
Despite technical strength, Tesla’s Q1 2025 showed weak fundamentals:
Revenue -9% YoY, EPS -71%, margin shrinkage
Global EV sales decline and loss of leadership in Europe
Valuation concerns: current price 86% above intrinsic value
Reputational risks affecting institutional sentiment
📊 Technical Analysis:
Key Support/Resistance zones:
$294 ~ 302 – Resistance zone (potential turning point)
$283 – Support zone (last HL on Daily)
Indicators used:
EMA50, EMA14: Price above both – confirms bullish momentum
RSI: Hovering around 70 (strong but nearing overbought)
MACD: Positive, and still building its momentum
Chart patterns / Price Action:
Clear bullish structure forming HL and HH
Watching for signs of exhaustion at resistance or break of HL
🟢 Entry Criteria:
No entry yet – waiting for confirmation of reversal
Look for bearish candlestick at resistance (e.g., engulfing or pin bar)
Break of 4H higher low structure or EMA50 cross
RSI divergence or MACD bearish crossover to support reversal bias
🎯 Trade Setup:
Entry: Pending – only after confirmation of bearish structure break (e.g., close below $283)
Stop Loss: Above $302 (recent swing high)
Take Profit: TP1 $270, TP2 $262 / ~1:2 RR
⚠️ Risk Management:
Risk per trade: 1% of account
Trade invalidation if: Price continues forming new HHs beyond $302
🔍 Market Bias:
Trend direction: Uptrend in the short term
Key structure:
Higher highs and higher lows on both Daily and 4H
Fundamental Bias:
Despite technical strength, Tesla’s Q1 2025 showed weak fundamentals:
Revenue -9% YoY, EPS -71%, margin shrinkage
Global EV sales decline and loss of leadership in Europe
Valuation concerns: current price 86% above intrinsic value
Reputational risks affecting institutional sentiment
📊 Technical Analysis:
Key Support/Resistance zones:
$294 ~ 302 – Resistance zone (potential turning point)
$283 – Support zone (last HL on Daily)
Indicators used:
EMA50, EMA14: Price above both – confirms bullish momentum
RSI: Hovering around 70 (strong but nearing overbought)
MACD: Positive, and still building its momentum
Chart patterns / Price Action:
Clear bullish structure forming HL and HH
Watching for signs of exhaustion at resistance or break of HL
🟢 Entry Criteria:
No entry yet – waiting for confirmation of reversal
Look for bearish candlestick at resistance (e.g., engulfing or pin bar)
Break of 4H higher low structure or EMA50 cross
RSI divergence or MACD bearish crossover to support reversal bias
🎯 Trade Setup:
Entry: Pending – only after confirmation of bearish structure break (e.g., close below $283)
Stop Loss: Above $302 (recent swing high)
Take Profit: TP1 $270, TP2 $262 / ~1:2 RR
⚠️ Risk Management:
Risk per trade: 1% of account
Trade invalidation if: Price continues forming new HHs beyond $302
Note
Price break above, short invalidated.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.