Everyone is thinking about today, about how difficult it is to know whether a stock will rise or fall since Trump came to power!!! :-). On April 2nd, many things will become clear after the official publication of the tariffs, but it's true that with a person like Trump in power, ANYTHING CAN HAPPEN in the future!!
As with any investment, you have to analyze all the variables that could affect its performance. Today we'll analyze TESLA!! , one of the hardest hit in the American market, mainly due to TRUMP!!! , FOR BEING TRUMP'S FRIEND!! :-).
--> What does TESLA have AGAINST IT?
1) TARIFFS: If Trump punishes countries around the world with tariffs, they (mainly China) will fight back!! , and the one that WILL BE PUNISHED THE MOST will be TESLA for Elon Musk being in power alongside Trump.
2) CHINESE ELECTRIC CARS: The competition is clear! There are Chinese vehicle companies that will compete strongly with Tesla, mainly due to price, although from my point of view, Tesla will win because Tesla is a brand of reliability, while Chinese companies are not.
3) NASDAQ: If the US enters a recession or decline, all technology will fall sharply, and with it, obviously, Tesla.
--> But what STRENGTHS does it have?
1) ELON MUSK IN POWER IN THE USA: We all know Elon Musk! And once in power, he will take full advantage of it to strengthen his companies in the coming months/years.
2) TESLA: New Tesla models and the world's most efficient batteries, in addition to the release of its first line of MOBILE PHONES, which we're all sure will be IMPRESSIVE!!
3) 40% YEAR-ROUND DROP: The sharp decline accumulated through 2025 makes this a company with GREAT appreciation potential, and at the slightest bit of good news, it will rise sharply.
With these PROS and CONS, we now have the variables outside of mathematics that could affect the value. Now it's time for TECHNICAL ANALYSIS, and for that, I've published two charts: the one above for TESLA on a H1 timeframe and the one below for the NASDAQ on a H4 timeframe. Why the one for the NASDAQ? Because you always have to analyze the direction of the INDEX, since a global drop in technology would drag down the company even if the technicals were favorable.
---> How do you view the NASDAQ?
The Nasdaq is clearly bearish in a key support zone for its future. It must not lose its current zone, and in the event of an upward rebound, it will form a bottom and signal a bullish (bullish) signal for the index in the coming weeks/months, causing all technology to rise sharply.
--> How is Tesla doing?
Tesla's outlook is better than the NASDAQ's, as it is entering a zone with intentions of breaking out higher! If Tesla surpasses 293, it will end the bearish phase it has been in since the beginning of the year and begin a bullish recovery phase. Therefore, if the NASDAQ bottoms out! When Tesla surpasses 293, we will go long without hesitation!
--------------------------------------
Strategy to follow:
ENTRY: We will open 2 long positions if the H4 candle closes above 293.
POSITION 1 (TP1): We close the first position in the 325 zone (+11%)
--> Stop Loss at 242 (-17%).
POSITION 2 (TP2): We open a Trailing Stop position.
--> Initial trailing stop loss at (-17%) (coinciding with the 242 level of position 1).
--> We modify the trailing stop loss to (-1%) when the price reaches TP1 (293).
-------------------------------------------
SETUP EXPLANATIONS
*** How do I know which 2 long positions to open? Let's take an example: If we want to invest €2,000 in the stock, we divide that amount by 2, and instead of opening one position of €2,000, we'll open two positions of €1,000 each.
*** What is a Trailing Stop? A Trailing Stop allows a trade to continue gaining value when the market price moves in a favorable direction, but it automatically closes the trade if the market price suddenly moves in an unfavorable direction by a specified distance. This specified distance is the trailing Stop Loss.
--> Example: If the trailing Stop Loss is at -1%, it means that if the price drops by -1%, the position will be closed. If the price rises, the Stop Loss also rises to maintain that -1% during increases. Therefore, the risk decreases until the position enters a profit. This way, you can take advantage of very strong and stable price trends, maximizing profits.
As with any investment, you have to analyze all the variables that could affect its performance. Today we'll analyze TESLA!! , one of the hardest hit in the American market, mainly due to TRUMP!!! , FOR BEING TRUMP'S FRIEND!! :-).
--> What does TESLA have AGAINST IT?
1) TARIFFS: If Trump punishes countries around the world with tariffs, they (mainly China) will fight back!! , and the one that WILL BE PUNISHED THE MOST will be TESLA for Elon Musk being in power alongside Trump.
2) CHINESE ELECTRIC CARS: The competition is clear! There are Chinese vehicle companies that will compete strongly with Tesla, mainly due to price, although from my point of view, Tesla will win because Tesla is a brand of reliability, while Chinese companies are not.
3) NASDAQ: If the US enters a recession or decline, all technology will fall sharply, and with it, obviously, Tesla.
--> But what STRENGTHS does it have?
1) ELON MUSK IN POWER IN THE USA: We all know Elon Musk! And once in power, he will take full advantage of it to strengthen his companies in the coming months/years.
2) TESLA: New Tesla models and the world's most efficient batteries, in addition to the release of its first line of MOBILE PHONES, which we're all sure will be IMPRESSIVE!!
3) 40% YEAR-ROUND DROP: The sharp decline accumulated through 2025 makes this a company with GREAT appreciation potential, and at the slightest bit of good news, it will rise sharply.
With these PROS and CONS, we now have the variables outside of mathematics that could affect the value. Now it's time for TECHNICAL ANALYSIS, and for that, I've published two charts: the one above for TESLA on a H1 timeframe and the one below for the NASDAQ on a H4 timeframe. Why the one for the NASDAQ? Because you always have to analyze the direction of the INDEX, since a global drop in technology would drag down the company even if the technicals were favorable.
---> How do you view the NASDAQ?
The Nasdaq is clearly bearish in a key support zone for its future. It must not lose its current zone, and in the event of an upward rebound, it will form a bottom and signal a bullish (bullish) signal for the index in the coming weeks/months, causing all technology to rise sharply.
--> How is Tesla doing?
Tesla's outlook is better than the NASDAQ's, as it is entering a zone with intentions of breaking out higher! If Tesla surpasses 293, it will end the bearish phase it has been in since the beginning of the year and begin a bullish recovery phase. Therefore, if the NASDAQ bottoms out! When Tesla surpasses 293, we will go long without hesitation!
--------------------------------------
Strategy to follow:
ENTRY: We will open 2 long positions if the H4 candle closes above 293.
POSITION 1 (TP1): We close the first position in the 325 zone (+11%)
--> Stop Loss at 242 (-17%).
POSITION 2 (TP2): We open a Trailing Stop position.
--> Initial trailing stop loss at (-17%) (coinciding with the 242 level of position 1).
--> We modify the trailing stop loss to (-1%) when the price reaches TP1 (293).
-------------------------------------------
SETUP EXPLANATIONS
*** How do I know which 2 long positions to open? Let's take an example: If we want to invest €2,000 in the stock, we divide that amount by 2, and instead of opening one position of €2,000, we'll open two positions of €1,000 each.
*** What is a Trailing Stop? A Trailing Stop allows a trade to continue gaining value when the market price moves in a favorable direction, but it automatically closes the trade if the market price suddenly moves in an unfavorable direction by a specified distance. This specified distance is the trailing Stop Loss.
--> Example: If the trailing Stop Loss is at -1%, it means that if the price drops by -1%, the position will be closed. If the price rises, the Stop Loss also rises to maintain that -1% during increases. Therefore, the risk decreases until the position enters a profit. This way, you can take advantage of very strong and stable price trends, maximizing profits.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.