Tesla
Long

MAKE OR BREAK SITUATION FOR TESLA - KEEP AN EYE

191
Fundamentals
-Tesla faces tough competition in the EV market, with its global share at 19% in 2024, as rivals like BYD grow faster.
-Sales growth might slow down in 2025 due to weaker demand in key markets like China.
Profits are under pressure after price cuts in 2024, with margins dropping to 8.2% in Q4.

Latest News
-Analyst Dan Ives said Elon Musk needs to focus to improve Tesla’s image, which is under pressure (Investopedia, March 21, 2025).
-Tesla led a late-day rally in megacaps, but overall market mood is shaky (Yahoo Finance, March 21, 2025).
-Investors are worried about EV demand slowing down due to high interest rates (Livemint, March 18, 2025).

Recommendation
Tesla (TSLA) rallied from $180 to $480 in an ascending channel on the daily chart from June 2024 to March 2025, but a recent "Trapped Candle" pattern at the highs signals potential volatility, with the stock now at $248.71 near the channel’s lower boundary around $216. In recent sessions, Tesla has definitely shown some support even after a deadly day on March 10, holding above the $216 level. The Fixed Range Volume Profile (FRVP) shows a high volume node between $220-$240, indicating that the market is at a strong position with significant liquidity in this zone. However, this looks like a fear zone where many traders might get trapped if the stock closes above $253, leading to a false sense of recovery. Traders should keep a close eye on whether the stock holds the $216 support or breaks above $253 on the daily chart to determine the next move.

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