Short video games post earnings
TTWO closed higher today following a mixed earnings report and soft guidance. The stock briefly traded down to $95 post-close yesterday before rallying through today's session. Highly-correlated competitors, EA and ATVI, also posted nice daily gains as investors seem generally optimistic on the video game sector. However, this chart of the top three names in the space looks like a good selling opportunity now that we're through earnings.
Using TradingView's advanced charting abilities, I created a composite of TTWO, EA, and ATVI which is indexed to 30,000. The sector had been in a strong, tight uptrend dating back to 2012 before breaking through trendline support as well as the 200-day moving average last October. Despite today's strong performance, we can see that the composite is still trading below the moving average and is contained within a contracting range. I believe the ongoing sideways price action is a Wave 4 triangle within an impulsive sequence off the high. Look for the sector to stall in coming weeks and break lower in Wave 5 - a move which should net at least 10% to the downside. Initiating short positions on TTWO, EA, and ATVI as long as the composite stays below the 200-day moving average.
Using TradingView's advanced charting abilities, I created a composite of TTWO, EA, and ATVI which is indexed to 30,000. The sector had been in a strong, tight uptrend dating back to 2012 before breaking through trendline support as well as the 200-day moving average last October. Despite today's strong performance, we can see that the composite is still trading below the moving average and is contained within a contracting range. I believe the ongoing sideways price action is a Wave 4 triangle within an impulsive sequence off the high. Look for the sector to stall in coming weeks and break lower in Wave 5 - a move which should net at least 10% to the downside. Initiating short positions on TTWO, EA, and ATVI as long as the composite stays below the 200-day moving average.
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