#### **Key Chart Observations**: 1. **Resistance Breakout Zone**: - The stock is approaching a **critical resistance level** near ₹12,080. - A breakout above this level with strong volume could signal a bullish continuation.
2. **Trendline Analysis**: - The stock has already broken a long-term **downward sloping trendline**, indicating a potential reversal to the upside. - The angle and historical significance of this trendline suggest a change in sentiment.
3. **Moving Average Support**: - The stock is trading above its **moving average**, which now acts as a support, reinforcing the bullish bias.
5. **Volume Confirmation**: - Watch for **higher-than-average volume** during the breakout to confirm sustained momentum.
6. **Risk Management**: - Set a **stop-loss** below the broken resistance (around ₹11,950) to manage downside risk if the breakout fails.
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### **Trading Strategy**: #### **Bullish Scenario**: - Enter long if the stock closes above ₹12,080 with good volume. - Targets: ₹12,400 and ₹12,800. - Stop-loss: ₹11,950.
#### **Bearish Scenario**: - If the stock fails to sustain above ₹12,080 and falls below ₹11,950, it may revisit ₹11,600 or lower.
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### **Key Technical Indicators**: 1. **RSI (Relative Strength Index):** - Monitor RSI for overbought levels (>70). If RSI supports the breakout, the move is likely to sustain.
2. **MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):** - A bullish crossover near the breakout zone will provide additional confirmation.
3. **Volume Profile**: - Significant volume buildup near ₹12,080 would indicate strong buyer interest.
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### **Conclusion**: UltraTech Cement Ltd is at a **critical breakout level**. Traders should watch for confirmation above ₹12,080 to initiate long positions, targeting higher levels. Volume and market sentiment will play a pivotal role in determining the strength of the breakout.
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