Currently the Federal Funds Rate is at 0 %.
The Yield Curve is close to flat around 0.5 %.
Inflation is at 7.5 %.
IF the FED raises the Federal Funds Rate 0.5 % then the Yield Curve will go negative and start a recession.
The FED cannot stop the current inflation without the yield curve going negative creating a major recession.
This means that stagflation is probably what is coming.
The Yield Curve is close to flat around 0.5 %.
Inflation is at 7.5 %.
IF the FED raises the Federal Funds Rate 0.5 % then the Yield Curve will go negative and start a recession.
The FED cannot stop the current inflation without the yield curve going negative creating a major recession.
This means that stagflation is probably what is coming.
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Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.