S&P500 uptrend pause supported at 6355

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US equities were largely subdued, with the S&P 500 inching up +0.02%, marking its sixth straight record high, the longest streak since July 2023. Despite the headline gain, over 70% of S&P 500 stocks declined, revealing weak breadth and suggesting index gains are being driven by a narrow group of large-cap tech names.

Tech led the way, with the information technology sector +0.77% and the Mag-7 rising +0.79%.

Semiconductors outperformed, as the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index climbed +1.62%, driven by AMD’s +4.32% surge.

Momentum is building ahead of key Big Tech earnings: Microsoft and Meta report tomorrow; Apple and Amazon follow Thursday.

Meanwhile, traders are staying cautious ahead of a busy macro week:

FOMC decision (Wednesday),

Core PCE, Q2 GDP, ISM, and nonfarm payrolls still to come.

Geopolitical developments include a possible 90-day US-China trade truce extension and Taiwan cancelling overseas travel, which may help de-escalate tensions.

On the corporate front:

Apple's India strategy sees it surpass China as the top smartphone source for US buyers.

Harley-Davidson may sell its finance unit in a $5B deal with Pimco and KKR.

Vitol rewarded top staff with $10.6B in share buybacks—a record.

Conclusion for S&P 500 Trading
The S&P 500 continues to post record highs, but narrow leadership and weak breadth raise red flags. With tech doing the heavy lifting, near-term direction hinges on earnings from Microsoft, Meta, Apple, and Amazon. Broader market upside looks fragile ahead of critical Fed and economic data, suggesting that any disappointment could trigger a pullback. Stay cautious and watch for rotation or retracement if macro or earnings catalysts falter.

Key Support and Resistance Levels

Resistance Level 1: 6430

Resistance Level 2: 6470

Resistance Level 3: 6500

Support Level 1: 6355

Support Level 2: 6315

Support Level 3: 6280

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