USDCAD Short Opportunity

54
Description:
USDCAD is setting up for a potential short — I’m watching closely for an upthrust into the highlighted zone to initiate the position. Here’s my current read:


🔍 Technical Breakdown:

1. Trendline Break

Previous bullish trendline broken with conviction. Market structure now vulnerable to bearish continuation.



2. Volume Spike with Selling Pressure

Notable increase in volume on bearish candles — suggests smart money exiting or early sellers stepping in.



3. Anticipating an Upthrust

Watching for price to sweep the highs around 1.3695–1.3700, fail to sustain, and drop back inside range.

This would provide a low-risk entry with tight stops above the highs and 5r+ down to 1.3652, possibly even lower.

📌 Trade Plan:

Entry Zone: 1.3695–1.3700 (after upthrust confirmation)

Stop: Above 1.3710

TP1: 1.3652 (structure low)

TP2: 1.3600 (extended target if momentum builds)



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🧠 Why This Setup?
This aligns with key principles I trade:

Trendline breaks often lead to retests followed by continuation.

Rising volume on the break is confirmation, not noise.

A failed breakout (upthrust) into previous supply zones is often the "last push" before price collapses.

Let me know if you're seeing something different. This is how I’m planning to attack the chart today.

Disclaimer

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