USDCAD bearish consolidation resistance at 1.3700

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The USDCAD currency pair remains in a bearish technical structure, consistent with the prevailing downtrend. Recent price action suggests sideways consolidation, indicating indecision as the pair pauses before its next directional move.

Key Technical Levels:
Resistance:

1.3700 – Key pivot zone; previously acted as intraday resistance.

1.3740 – Minor resistance.

1.3790 – Stronger resistance zone and potential reversal point.

Support:

1.3566 – Initial downside target on renewed selling pressure.

1.3544 – Intermediate support.

1.3520 – Long-term support and potential demand zone.

Scenario Analysis:
Bearish Case (Favored):
Price is consolidating below the key 1.3700 level. A failure to break above this resistance could trigger a renewed move lower. A bearish rejection from this level may open the path toward 1.3566, then 1.3544 and 1.3520 over a longer timeframe.

Bullish Case (Alternative):
A confirmed breakout and daily close above 1.3700 would invalidate the current bearish setup. This could shift sentiment to bullish and trigger a move toward the next resistance zones at 1.3740 and 1.3790.

Conclusion:
The technical bias for USDCAD remains bearish while price trades below the 1.3700 resistance zone. Traders should watch for a rejection from this level to confirm further downside potential. However, a sustained break above 1.3700 would neutralize the bearish setup and suggest scope for a short-term bullish reversal.

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