USD/CAD Bulls Emerge at Confluent Support

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USD/CAD has responded to confluent support at 1.3714/29- a region defined by the 78.6% retracement of the September rally and the 38.2% retracement of the 2021 advance. Note that the 25% parallel of the descending pitchfork converges on this threshold over the next few days and a break / close below is needed to fuel the next leg of the decline / mark downtrend resumption.

Initial resistance is eyed with the 61.8% retracement of the late 2023 advance / May open at 1.3794/98 and is backed closely by the median-line. Rallies should be limited to this slope IF price is heading lower on this stretch with a break / close below this pivot zone exposing subsequent objectives at 1.3590-1.3614 and 1.3504/23. Broader bearish invalidation extends into the 200-day moving average at 1.3990-1.4019.
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