USDCAD Bears Gain Momentum Below Resistance Wall

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USDCAD 8D TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

OVERALL TREND
๐Ÿ“‰ DOWNTREND โ€” Confirmed by multiple moving averages stacked bearishly and recent breakdown from a Pivot High at 1.46560. The Trend Score reads -0.10, signaling growing bearish sentiment, though the current downtrend confidence is moderate (4.8%).

๐Ÿ”ดRESISTANCE ZONE
  • ๐Ÿ”ด 1.47937 โ€” PIVOT HIGH | SELL STOPLOSS
  • ๐Ÿ”ด 1.46560 โ€” SELL ORDER 2
  • ๐Ÿ”ด 1.43772 โ€” SELL ORDER 1


๐ŸŽฏENTRIES & TARGETS
  • ๐ŸŽฏ 1.38464 โ€” SELL ORDER & TP 1
  • ๐ŸŽฏ 1.34004 โ€” SELL ORDER & TP 2 | Mid-Pivot
  • ๐ŸŽฏ 1.30718 โ€” SELL ORDER & TP 3
  • ๐ŸŽฏ 1.25643 โ€” EXIT SELL | TP 4


๐ŸŸขSUPPORT ZONE
  • ๐ŸŸข 1.24442 โ€” BUY ORDER 1
  • ๐ŸŸข 1.21463 โ€” BUY ORDER 2
  • ๐ŸŸข 1.20070 โ€” PIVOT LOW | BUY STOPLOSS


๐Ÿ“ŠINDICATOR SUMMARY
  • RSI @ 37 โ€” Near oversold, but neutral
  • MACD โ€” Bearish divergence confirmed (Sell)
  • Momentum โ€” Weak bullish rebound (Buy)
  • Stochastic %K โ€” Neutral but nearing oversold (14.64)
  • Major Moving Averages โ€” Mostly bearish alignment (20/30/50/100/200 EMAs & SMAs all showing Sell)


๐Ÿค“STRUCTURAL NOTES
  • Bearish engulfing candle near 1.43772 resistance confirms sell-side pressure
  • Price rejected near the Pivot High zone (1.46560) and has broken below short-term support
  • EMA/SMA crossover downward confirms bearish acceleration
  • Volume Weighted MA also supports a downside continuation


TRADE OUTLOOK ๐Ÿ”Ž
  • ๐Ÿ“‰ Short Bias โ€” Valid below 1.43772 with target zones between TP1 @ 1.38464 and TP4 @ 1.25643
  • ๐Ÿ“ˆ Long setups only initiate below 1.24442 support bounce with confluence at the BUY STOP zone (1.20070)
  • ๐Ÿ‘€ Watch price action at 1.38464 and 1.34004 โ€” key decision zones for mid-trend reversal or continuation


๐ŸงชSTRATEGY RECOMMENDATION

CONSERVATIVE APPROACH (Trend-Following):
โ€” Entry: 1.43772 retest
โ€” TP Levels: 1.38464 / 1.34004 / 1.30718 / 1.25643
โ€” SL: Above 1.46560

AGGRESSIVE APPROACH (Breakout Pullback):
โ€” Entry: On break and close below 1.38464
โ€” TP: 1.34004 / 1.30718 / 1.25643
โ€” SL: Above 1.40900

โ€œDiscipline | Consistency | PAY-tienceโ„ขโ€ โ€” Let the chart speak and the setup confirm.

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