USDCAD Extends Rally as Strong US Labor Data Lifts the Greenback
Updated
The USD/CAD pair continues its upward momentum, extending its rally to around 1.3645 during Tuesday's early London session. The recent surge in the US Dollar (USD) has been driven by stronger-than-expected labor market data released last Friday, which caused traders to reassess their expectations of aggressive Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cuts.
The Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report showed a robust increase in employment figures, along with a decline in the Unemployment Rate, which has reduced the likelihood of more substantial rate cuts by the Fed. Investors now anticipate a more modest 25 basis points (bps) cut in the upcoming November meeting, rather than the previously expected 50 bps. This sentiment shift has provided a solid foundation for the USD to gain traction against its counterparts, including the Canadian Dollar (CAD).
In our previous USD/CAD forecast, shared here:
USD/CAD Rebounds from Demand Zone
Bullish Continuation in Sight, we highlighted a key demand zone where the pair found strong support. As anticipated, the price rebounded exactly from our identified area, and we are now approaching our take profit target.
Looking Ahead: Impact of Upcoming US Economic Data
Tomorrow and the day after, significant US economic data releases are scheduled, including reports on inflation and unemployment claims, which could further impact the direction of the USD. A continuation of strong economic performance may push the USD/CAD pair higher, while any signs of economic weakness could lead to a brief retracement.
Conclusion: Holding the Position for Further Gains
Given the favorable technical setup and the strong support from recent labor data, we are holding our long position in USD/CAD. The upcoming economic releases will provide additional clarity, but for now, the momentum remains on the side of the US Dollar. A potential continuation of the bullish trend is in sight, with some volatility expected as traders react to fresh economic news.
✅ Please share your thoughts about USD/CAD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
The Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report showed a robust increase in employment figures, along with a decline in the Unemployment Rate, which has reduced the likelihood of more substantial rate cuts by the Fed. Investors now anticipate a more modest 25 basis points (bps) cut in the upcoming November meeting, rather than the previously expected 50 bps. This sentiment shift has provided a solid foundation for the USD to gain traction against its counterparts, including the Canadian Dollar (CAD).
In our previous USD/CAD forecast, shared here:
USD/CAD Rebounds from Demand Zone
Bullish Continuation in Sight, we highlighted a key demand zone where the pair found strong support. As anticipated, the price rebounded exactly from our identified area, and we are now approaching our take profit target.
Looking Ahead: Impact of Upcoming US Economic Data
Tomorrow and the day after, significant US economic data releases are scheduled, including reports on inflation and unemployment claims, which could further impact the direction of the USD. A continuation of strong economic performance may push the USD/CAD pair higher, while any signs of economic weakness could lead to a brief retracement.
Conclusion: Holding the Position for Further Gains
Given the favorable technical setup and the strong support from recent labor data, we are holding our long position in USD/CAD. The upcoming economic releases will provide additional clarity, but for now, the momentum remains on the side of the US Dollar. A potential continuation of the bullish trend is in sight, with some volatility expected as traders react to fresh economic news.
✅ Please share your thoughts about USD/CAD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Trade closed: target reached
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