USDCAD oversold rally capped at 1.3800

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The USDCAD pair continues to trade within a broader bearish trend, with recent price action suggesting a temporary oversold rebound. The pair is currently attempting to recover from near-term lows, yet remains capped below a key technical resistance level.

Key Resistance: 1.3800 – This level marks a prior consolidation zone and represents immediate resistance. A test and rejection here would reinforce the broader bearish structure.

Support Levels:

1.3670 – First major support, aligning with previous demand zones.

1.3635 – Secondary support, potentially acting as a pivot in extended declines.

1.3600 – Psychological and structural support; a break below would strengthen the bearish case.

Bullish Scenario: A decisive breakout above 1.3800 with a daily close would invalidate the current bearish bias and could lead to a rally toward the 1.3850 and 1.3880 resistance zones.

Technical Indicators:

Momentum is showing early signs of recovery from oversold conditions, but lacks confirmation for trend reversal.

Moving averages are tilted lower, reinforcing downside pressure unless a sustained breakout occurs.

Conclusion:
The bias for USDCAD remains bearish below the 1.3800 resistance zone. A rejection at this level could trigger renewed downside pressure toward 1.3670 and beyond. However, a confirmed breakout above 1.3800 and a daily close would shift momentum in favor of the bulls, opening the path for further upside retracement. Traders should monitor price action closely at 1.3800 for directional confirmation.

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