USD/CAD could strengthen over several trading sessions as it moves below an uptrend, with momentum, as measured by the relative strength index (RSI), turning negative. This could strengthen USD/CAD to around CA$1.415 from its current rate of CA$1.433.
USD/CAD has been unable to rise back above CA$1.45 despite multiple attempts since mid-February. The pair’s RSI is forming a bearish divergence pattern, suggesting that momentum no longer favors the Loonie, which continues to weaken against the US dollar.
The loonie also appears to be attempting to break below a short-term uptrend that began around 20 February. With that uptrend at risk, USD/CAD may decline in the coming days.
The hourly chart shows that the loonie has repeatedly attempted to break above CA$1.45 , with each effort failing — except for a move between 31 January and 3 February, which ultimately proved to be a failed breakout attempt. With the loonie showing signs of strengthening, USD/CAD could consolidate around support at CA$1.427, with the more critical and substantial support area around CA$1.415.
To the upside, a reversal higher in USD/CAD could face strong resistance around CA$1.45, as it has for months.
Written by Michael J Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management
Disclaimer: CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed.
No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by CMC Markets or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although we are not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, we do not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination.
USD/CAD has been unable to rise back above CA$1.45 despite multiple attempts since mid-February. The pair’s RSI is forming a bearish divergence pattern, suggesting that momentum no longer favors the Loonie, which continues to weaken against the US dollar.
The loonie also appears to be attempting to break below a short-term uptrend that began around 20 February. With that uptrend at risk, USD/CAD may decline in the coming days.
The hourly chart shows that the loonie has repeatedly attempted to break above CA$1.45 , with each effort failing — except for a move between 31 January and 3 February, which ultimately proved to be a failed breakout attempt. With the loonie showing signs of strengthening, USD/CAD could consolidate around support at CA$1.427, with the more critical and substantial support area around CA$1.415.
To the upside, a reversal higher in USD/CAD could face strong resistance around CA$1.45, as it has for months.
Written by Michael J Kramer, founder of Mott Capital Management
Disclaimer: CMC Markets is an execution-only service provider. The material (whether or not it states any opinions) is for general information purposes only and does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. Nothing in this material is (or should considered to be) financial, investment or other advice on which reliance should be placed.
No opinion given in the material constitutes a recommendation by CMC Markets or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although we are not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, we do not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination.
Disclaimer
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.