USD/CAD Defends Support but Bears Still Lurking

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USD/CAD is clinging to key horizontal support around 1.3780 after a recent sharp decline:

  • Support Retest: Price briefly dipped below the 1.3780 area before buyers stepped in, forming a potential short-term base.
  • Downtrend Intact: Price remains well below both the 50- and 200-day SMAs, which are beginning to fan out—an increasingly bearish configuration.
  • Momentum Weak: MACD is negative and RSI is hovering just above oversold territory (~38), suggesting continued bearish pressure despite the bounce.
  • Critical Levels: A break below 1.3780 could open the door to 1.3420 (October support), while upside recovery would need a move above the 200-day (~1.40) to shift the broader tone.


The bounce may offer a short-term reprieve, but unless bulls reclaim trend-defining moving averages, the bears remain in control.

-MW

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