USD/JPY Upcoming Trend - Bearish?

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USD/JPY news:

🔆The USD/JPY pair climbs to around 149.80 during North American trading hours on Monday, driven by a weaker Japanese Yen (JPY) as 10-year Japan bond yields undergo a slight correction. The 10-year Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs) decline to approximately 1.41% from 1.45%, the highest level in nearly 15 years.

🔆Despite this, expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will raise interest rates again this year continue to support the Yen. Additionally, hotter-than-expected National Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for January has reinforced speculation that the BoJ may tighten its monetary policy further.

🔆On the US Dollar (USD) side, a strong rebound follows its drop to a nearly 12-week low. Weak US private business activity data has led to increased dovish bets on the Federal Reserve (Fed), with the probability of a rate cut in June rising to 58% from around 50% a week ago, according to the CME FedWatch tool.

Personal opinion:

🔆The USD/JPY pair is still maintaining a downtrend in the medium term, besides the support for JPY from fundamental factors, technical analysis according to the trend line combined with Fibonacci levels and important resistance - support levels shows a clear downtrend, there is no sign of a reversal from USD

Plan:

🔆Price Zone Setup:

👉Sell USD/JPY 149.50 – 149.70
❌SL: 150.15 | ✅TP: 148.80 – 148.20 – 147.60

FM wishes you a successful trading day đź’°đź’°đź’°

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