Here's my Elliott Wave count for the USDJPY on W1. It appears more likely to be a corrective structure (labelled it black with the gray label as the alternate). Please note that I label my waves different than most. The way I label it typically allows for the market to perform an "irregular B" wave that triggers new highs.
I see three possible scenarios here: 1 - We are in W4. In this case we should have a corrective structure (complex or simple) and eventually have new highs. 2 - We are in W1 of a new down trend. 3 - WC has finished but we may have an "Irregular B" wave that breaks WC highs before reversing.
Note
W1 closed on the channel support. Expecting a correction to start from here.
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