Japanese Yen Short-term Outlook: USD/JPY Breakout ahead of NFP

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The U.S. Dollar plunged more nearly 12% off the yearly high against the Japanese Yen with USD/JPY rebounding off support at last week near the 2024 low.
Initial resistance now in view at the 100% extension of the recent advance at 146.11 and is backed by the 38.2% retracement at 147.14- both levels of interest for possible topside exhaustion / price inflection IF reached. Broader bearish invalidation is eyed at the 1.6185% extension / 2022 weekly high close at 148.67/73.

Ultimately, a break / daily close below 140.25 is needed to mark downtrend resumption with the subsequent support seen at the March high-day close (HDC) / March high at 137.35/91 and the 78.6% retracement at 134.65.

From a trading standpoint, rallies would need to be limited to 147.14 IF price is heading lower on this stretch with a close below 140.25 needed to fuel the next leg of the decline.
-MB

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