USDJPY 4Hour TF - July 27th, 2025

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USDJPY 7/27/2025
USDJPY 4Hour Neutral Idea

Monthly - Bullish
Weekly - Bearish
Daily - Bullish
4Hour - Bearish

We’re getting some mixed signals going into this week on UJ but it does look primarily bearish, especially after the move last week.

Currently price action is resting at 147.500 and we’re waiting to see if it will hold as resistance.
Here are two potential ways price action could play out for the week ahead:

Bearish Continuation - This is the most likely based on the context clues of last week. We’re clearly bearish and that lines up with the DXY bias at the moment.

For us to spot a confident short position on UJ we would need to see some bearish conviction coming off our 147.500 zone. We could see this happen after some consolidation or immediately so be cautious and be patient.

Bullish Reversal - This is the only bullish set up I'd be interested in if it plays out. We need to be convinced price action will move higher so I would need to see a significant push above 147.500 resistance with new structure in the form of higher low above. I’d look to target higher toward key levels of resistance if this happens.

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