USDJPY short idea: UJ and stocks down some more?

Updated
Based on risk sentiment (gold, stocks, oil), looks like UJ might be headed further down.

I think we might have already completed the wave 4, and preparing to start wave 5.
But wave 4 could go a little higher yet and still be perfectly valid EW process.

The Nikkei looks to be following a perfect path to a wave 5 coming
Nikkei index pull back pathway: JPN225 with ABC retrace?
and lately UJ has been tightly correlated with equities (usually is but right now more so than usual)


Note
Dollar is super strong after FOMC meeting minutes. But here we are at the crucial decision point snapshot

Zoomed in: the fib zone was precisely noticed, but I dont think it will stop the move snapshot
Note
UJ still testing the resistance zone above snapshot
Note
Nice rejection this far snapshot But I am not confident it will go much lower. Am watching risk sentiment again.
Note
The Japanese stock market is following EW and Fib waves perfectly
Nikkei index pull back pathway: JPN225 with ABC retrace?
now waiting to see if it bounces up from that 4.618 or cuts through
Elliott WaveFibonacciSupport and Resistance

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