USD/MXN Testing Downtrend Resistance – Bearish Channel Remains I

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The USD/MXN pair continues to grind lower within a well-defined descending channel, marked by a series of lower highs and lower lows since April. Although the pair has shown short-term stability near 18.58 support, the broader trend remains bearish.

Price is currently testing the channel’s upper boundary near 18.70, with both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs well above current levels, reinforcing the downside bias. Any bounce is likely to face headwinds unless bulls manage to push the pair back above 19.07 and 19.49 — prior swing levels and confluence zones with moving averages.

Indicators:

MACD remains below zero, showing persistent bearish momentum despite some recent flattening.

RSI sits at 36, indicating mild oversold conditions but with no strong reversal signal yet.

Key Levels:

Support: 18.58 (recent low and channel support).

Resistance: 18.70 (channel top), followed by 19.07 and 19.49.

Conclusion:
USD/MXN remains pressured within a bearish structure. A breakout above 18.70 may trigger short-covering toward the 19.00–19.50 zone, but bears remain in control while price stays beneath key moving averages. Watch for a decisive break of either channel boundary to determine directional bias going forward.

-MW

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