USDT vs. ETH: A Silent Signal for the Crypto Market?

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We often scrutinize the price charts of volatile cryptocurrencies, but a look at stablecoin market capitalization can reveal surprising insights.

Recently, Tether's USDT market cap chart caught my eye, particularly when juxtaposed with leading cryptocurrencies.

While comparisons with Bitcoin have shown interesting correlations between USDT supply and broader market cycles, it's the comparison with Ethereum (ETH) that raises a compelling question.

The chart shows that Bitcoin along with several other cryptocurrencies have exceeded their 2021 price highs yet Ethereum remains below its previous peak. The market capitalization of USDT increased by 75% from 2021 to present day.

This divergence is noteworthy. The growth of USDT's market cap signifies an increase in its circulating supply, presumably driven by inflows of USD (or equivalent) into Tether's reserves.

Why would people exchange their fiat for USDT if they did not plan to use the funds within the cryptocurrency space?

The rising demand for USDT coins indicates that market participants expect increased crypto market activity.

However, the fact that USDT's growth significantly outpaces Ethereum's price recovery suggests a potential disconnect.

Either there's an unusual surge in demand for USDT for purposes outside of immediate crypto investment (less likely), or significant capital is being positioned on the sidelines, potentially waiting for strategic entry points.

Considering recent reports of increasing activity in large Bitcoin accumulation addresses, the latter scenario seems more plausible.

The large increase in USDT market capitalization together with Ethereum's flat price performance compared to its former peak might indicate substantial accumulation activities that could lead to future market movements.


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