As unfortunate as it is, South Africa's economy has taken a hit this past quarter with the Moody's downgrade being announced last week and a further hit due to COVID-19. However, we as traders capitalise on such when this aligns with the technicals we see on the charts. We work to secure our bag.
According to the latest COT report, large speculators are increasing shorts on the ZAR and as a result we were waiting for a long entry on the USDZAR. We took an entry last week where we saw confluence on the D timeframe with what we had on the weekly which was the Impulse-Correction-Impulse pattern signaling a potential push to the upside. We waited for an entry after the 0.382 retracement. For those who missed that first opportunity, we are waiting for a second entry at he restest of the previous D high.