Trade Setup Overview
Position Sizing and Risk Analysis
Technical Timeframe Considerations
Catalyst Analysis
Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Impact Scenarios
Positive NFP Scenario:
Negative NFP Scenario:
Trade Management Strategy
Entry Execution
Position Management
Exit Strategy
Risk Management Rules
Technical Price Levels
Psychological Levels:
Target Zone: 22,232.41
Session Considerations
Trade Invalidation
Key Reminders
Remember: Trading success comes from consistent execution of a well-defined plan, not from any single trade outcome.
- Entry Price: 21,530.33
- Target Price: 22,232.41
- Stop Loss: 21,297.97
- Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:3
- Trade Type: Long Position
- Suggested Position Size: 0.25-0.5% of capital
- Timeframe: 1-Hour Chart
Position Sizing and Risk Analysis
- Conservative position sizing (0.25-0.5%) indicates proper risk management
- Total Risk per Position: 232.36 points (Entry - Stop Loss)
- Potential Reward: 702.08 points (Target - Entry)
- Maximum capital risk at 0.5% position size provides buffer for market volatility
Technical Timeframe Considerations
- 4-Hour chart setup suggests a swing trading approach
- Longer timeframe reduces noise and false signals
- Allows for proper development of price action and trend confirmation
- Consider holding position through multiple sessions if needed
Catalyst Analysis
Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Impact Scenarios
Positive NFP Scenario:
- Strong jobs data could accelerate upward momentum
- Consider trailing stop adjustment on strong move
- Watch for potential extension beyond initial target
Negative NFP Scenario:
- Have preset stop loss in place
- No emotional attachment to position
- Accept defined risk and move on to next opportunity
Trade Management Strategy
Entry Execution
- Enter at specified price of 21,530.33
- Consider scaling in if market provides opportunity
- Maintain discipline on entry price
Position Management
- Initial stop loss at 21,297.97 (non-negotiable)
- Consider partial profit taking at 1:1 risk-reward
- Trail stop loss after significant movement in favor
- Maximum hold time based on 4H chart context: 5-7 trading days
Exit Strategy
- Primary target: 22,232.41
- Consider market context at target approach
- Use price action at target level for exit timing
- Don't force trades beyond technical invalidation
Risk Management Rules
- Strict adherence to position sizing (0.25-0.5%)
- No averaging down on losing positions
- Respect stop loss level - no exceptions
- Consider market hours volatility
- Account for pre/post market gaps
Technical Price Levels
- Entry Zone: 21,530.33
- Critical Support: 21,297.97
Psychological Levels:
- 21,500
- 22,000
- 22,200
Target Zone: 22,232.41
Session Considerations
- Monitor pre-market sentiment
- Watch correlated markets (S&P 500, DOW)
- Consider reduced position size during high-impact news
- Be aware of market hours volatility spikes
Trade Invalidation
- Clear invalidation below 21,297.97
- Technical structure breaks
- Significant shift in market sentiment
- Unexpected negative catalyst impac
Key Reminders
- "Live to trade another day" - maintain emotional discipline
- NFP is a known catalyst - plan accordingly
- 4H timeframe requires patience
- Stick to planned position size
- Monitor correlated tech sectors for confirmation
Remember: Trading success comes from consistent execution of a well-defined plan, not from any single trade outcome.
Trade closed: target reached
Target reached. Textbook performance.
I hope you’ve had a great day and that your screens were green. 🌟
Happy Trading, and see you next time! 💹✨
Happy Trading, and see you next time! 💹✨
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
I hope you’ve had a great day and that your screens were green. 🌟
Happy Trading, and see you next time! 💹✨
Happy Trading, and see you next time! 💹✨
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.