The lowest-rated debt keeps outperforming safer securities, with investors apparently more concerned about Treasury yields moving higher than credit risk. Investors are now demanding the least extra yield to own junk bonds over investment-grade notes since 2014.
Rising treasury yields implies one of two scenarios is happening or about to happen.
1. Global economic recovery is happening as a result of increasing vaccination and economic activity as countries open up. Inflation is actually rising to Central Banks' targets
2. Markets are about to crash with US FED & ECB struggling to push inflation higher. What are the financial markets telling you? DXY? S&P500? DAX 30? Commodities?
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