VBL on Shaky Ground – SHORT CALL

3 325
🔻 Short Trade Setup – Varun Beverages Ltd. (VBL)
CMP: ₹469.55
RSI: 32.02 (Near oversold but with bearish momentum)

🧾 Technical Overview:
Pattern
: Rounding Top Formation
Signal: Neckline breached, confirming pattern breakdown
Implication: Signals intensified weakness, increased probability of price decline
📉 Trade Details:
Entry (Short): ₹465
Stop Loss: ₹499 (Above recent resistance & invalidation of breakdown)
Target 1: ₹385
⚠️ Risk-Reward Ratio: Approx. 1:2.3 — favorable for short setup.

Key Notes:
  • RSI at 32 indicates strong bearish momentum; nearing oversold but not yet exhausted.
  • Volume confirmation during neckline breach would strengthen the bearish case.
  • Position sizing and strict stop-loss adherence is crucial, as any reversal above ₹499 would negate the pattern.


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Trade closed: stop reached
snapshot
VBL after breaking the eckline of a rounding top formation, triggering a bearish setup has seen a lowes of 446 levels. However, the stock found strong support around the ₹446 level and displayed a revival renewed buying interest.

The move back above the breakdown point invalidates the earlier bearish setup, effectively negating the rounding top structure. This price action reflects a shift in sentiment and regaining of upward momentum.

Given the strength of the reversal and previous projections, the short-term outlook is now positive, with potential upside towards ₹567. A sustained move above this level may open the path toward ₹610 over the medium to long term.

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