Tipping the Boat ahead of CT Roll is stock in trade for the VX Complex Options Writers.
Position Rolls across the Markets will have a profound effect this as we begin to square.
CASH/SPOT VIX shows further complacency as Volumes dry up.
RTY and NQ will lead to the downside as "Independent Producers" (SMALL Businesses) will continue to be croaked as they have been since March of 2020 for the RUT 2K. As for Tech, it is facing some large headwinds with respect to the current Rate Revolt and China's heavy hand.
Warning Signs abound across the Spectrum, on balance, they are being roundly ignored by the Junior Investor/Trader.
A FAT Finger trade is all but assured as Wall Street takes some Bacon off the table as Uncertainty will begin to shake belief structures.
Financials theoretically should benefit from rate inking up, the ES and RTY would be positioned to benefit the most due to the large Financial Component structures... theoretically :)
ES would likely catch the bid.
The issue we have with this basis - Housing has reaches extremes as the Crisis in Real Estate is just beginning to unfold.
Law suits are all but assured as the Administration has come under fire from small Independent Producers of Rentier Class profits... they are being squeezed and remain furious with a growing intensity.
The Admin is clearly behaving in an Illegal manner in order tp maintain moratoriums on Rents.
An Executive Order followed by the CDC's rubber stamp would only further the Crisis and lead to an increasing distrust of Lever Pullers.
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