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I've decided to open a new long position in oil WTI , despite the odds not being particularly favorable. My reasoning is based on observing strong support at the daily Fair Value Gap (FVG), which I had been waiting for to confirm a solid reaction before entering.

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On the weekly chart, the outlook leans more bearish, and this week’s performance will be crucial in determining the market's clear direction.

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While the 1-hour chart shows a decent reaction, it’s from a lower timeframe, which doesn’t carry much weight in terms of broader market strength.

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Looking at the daily timeframe, the market structure is not encouraging. We’ve seen a consistent pattern of lower swing lows, adding pressure to the overall setup.

Trading management

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However, on the 15-minute chart, this trade aligns perfectly with my approach: stop-loss just below the wick, as the candlestick has shown strong respect for this level. My take-profit is targeting liquidity on the buyer’s side. I plan to take partial profits at $71.46 and move my stop-loss to break even.
71.46-->RR: 4.19
74.24-->RR: 7.54
Capital risk: 1%
Trade closed: stop reached
SL reached

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