Crude rally continues
Yesterday, front-month WTI reversed an early drift lower and surged to its highest level in six months, coming within 50 cents of $80 per barrel. So much for the expected consolidation, let alone a significant pullback. Crude oil is on course for a month’s-worth of back-to-back weekly gains, which is quite the recovery given the near-relentless selling pressure witnessed since April last year. It certainly appears that oil prices are breaking out of their long-term downtrend. But it could be that WTI’s first significant test is coming, with the possibility that $80 holds as resistance. If so, a failed break above this level could be the trigger for an overdue pullback. If so, the nature of this pullback should provide clues as to whether the rally can continue, or if that’s all the market can give. As things stand, the daily MACD is looking very extended to the upside. While this suggests that momentum still points higher, this is also pushing into an area from where reversals begin.
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