1-hour chart of XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD)

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🔍 Chart Structure Overview
Downtrend Channel (Bearish Flag/Wedge):

The price has been moving within a well-defined descending channel.

Multiple touches on both the upper and lower trendlines confirm the structure.

Breakout Confirmation:

Price has now broken above the upper trendline of the descending channel, indicating a potential bullish breakout.

This is often a reversal signal when it comes after a strong downtrend.

Key Support Zone:

A horizontal support zone is marked where price reversed and pushed up strongly.

This suggests a potential accumulation zone and demand area.

Retest Expectation:

The red arrows suggest that price may retest the broken channel resistance (now turned support).

If it holds, it could confirm a bullish continuation.

📈 Projection & Target Levels
Immediate Target: Around $3,250–$3,275, just above the breakout zone.

Extended Target: Above $3,375, based on the arrow projection and previous swing highs.

🔄 Scenario Path (Based on Drawing):
Price has broken out of the channel (bullish signal).

A pullback/retest to the channel top or previous resistance is expected.

If the retest holds, we expect a strong bullish continuation.

✅ Bullish Confluences:
Break of descending structure

Reversal from strong demand zone

Momentum shown in bullish candles

Projection suggests a healthy risk-reward opportunity

⚠️ Risk Factors to Monitor:
False breakout: If the price returns into the channel, bullish bias weakens.

Major resistance at $3,250–$3,275 area.

Fundamental events (e.g. FOMC, CPI) that can cause volatility.

📌 Conclusion:
This chart suggests a bullish reversal setup on Gold, supported by a channel breakout and demand reaction. A successful retest of the breakout zone would confirm potential for upward momentum toward the $3,275–$3,375 levels.

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