Daily Edge – March 29, 2025

75
Friday Close – Week 13 Wrap + Week 14 Setup Preview

Context

Week 13 closed bullish, forming a double distribution profile and finishing just below all-time highs.

Week 14 opens on the final day of March + Q1 — a high-stakes inflection point.

Red folder news events dominate the week ahead, including Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) on Friday.

Key Weekly Levels (Week 13)


MPH: 3086
VAH: 3046
POC: 3016 (below W12 POC at 3034)
VAL: 3004
MPL: 3002

Last Week’s Play Recap

Entered a Failed Auction Long early in W13 near W12 VAL (3014–3020)
Structure evolved into clean IB Breakout, then full range extension and continuation toward highs
Late-week close confirmed expansion above AMR High and value structure

Some live positions remain open, awaiting Monday’s open for management decisions

Looking Ahead to Week 14

Monday is observation-only — waiting for the Initial Balance (IB) to form on the 4H TPO Weekly Profile

This week also prints:

The February IB (from Daily/Monthly TPO)

The Week 14 IB (Weekly TPO)

The Q2 Opening Profile (Quarterly TPO)

Higher timeframe structure remains bullish, but entries will only follow confirmed setups from the PNP playbook

Execution Plan for the Week


Let Monday define IB

Match structure to historical high-probability patterns

Tag validated setups: FA, IBX, Reversion, etc.

Execute using the scaling-in model only after confirmation

Maintain consistent VAR and clarity on exit plan

“Structure prints the story. Data confirms the play. We only act when both align.”

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