XAUUSD TRADING PLAN – 27/05 | SELLERS TAKE CONTROL – BUYERS WAITING BELOW 3300?
Gold has sharply reversed after failing to break through the key 3364 – 3366 resistance zone. Price action now suggests a corrective structure is in play, potentially setting the stage for further downside before NFP week.
🌍 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT
The Federal Reserve maintains a hawkish stance with U.S. 10-year yields holding above 4.5%, placing short-term pressure on safe-haven assets like gold.
U.S.–EU Trade Tensions have temporarily eased after Trump postponed 50% tariffs on EU goods until July 9. However, this pause may be short-lived, keeping geopolitical risk priced into gold.
Key data this week will influence market sentiment:
• U.S. Core PCE (April) – critical for inflation outlook
• EU HICP (May) – will shape ECB rate cut expectations for June
Gold remains caught between macro-driven demand and technical exhaustion — creating opportunities for range-based trading.
📉 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (H1/H4)
Price broke below the rising trendline and is now trading under the EMA 13, 34, and 89, confirming a bearish shift in short-term momentum.
The 3284 – 3286 region aligns with a previous Fair Value Gap (FVG), EMA200 (H4), and structural support — a strong potential buy zone.
If this level fails, deeper pullback toward the 3247 – 3250 region (major FVG zone) becomes likely.
🔑 TRADE SETUP ZONES
🟢 PRIMARY BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3286 – 3284
Stop-Loss: 3280
Take-Profit: 3290 → 3294 → 3298 → 3302 → 3310 → 3320
🟢 BUY SCALP:
Entry: 3298 – 3296
Stop-Loss: 3292
Take-Profit: 3302 → 3306 → 3310 → 3314 → 3320 → 3330
🔴 SELL SCALP:
Entry: 3346 – 3348
Stop-Loss: 3350
Take-Profit: 3342 → 3338 → 3334 → 3330 → 3320 → 3310
🔴 STRONG SELL ZONE:
Entry: 3364 – 3366
Stop-Loss: 3370
Take-Profit: 3360 → 3356 → 3352 → 3348 → 3344 → 3340 → 3330
⚠️ STRATEGIC INSIGHTS
Selling on retracements below 3348 is favorable unless a strong breakout above 3366 occurs.
Buying is only valid near 3284 with confirmation of bullish structure (EMA support bounce or bullish engulfing pattern).
Avoid trading the mid-range between 3310–3330 unless a clear reversal setup forms — price action here remains noisy and indecisive.
Gold has sharply reversed after failing to break through the key 3364 – 3366 resistance zone. Price action now suggests a corrective structure is in play, potentially setting the stage for further downside before NFP week.
🌍 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL CONTEXT
The Federal Reserve maintains a hawkish stance with U.S. 10-year yields holding above 4.5%, placing short-term pressure on safe-haven assets like gold.
U.S.–EU Trade Tensions have temporarily eased after Trump postponed 50% tariffs on EU goods until July 9. However, this pause may be short-lived, keeping geopolitical risk priced into gold.
Key data this week will influence market sentiment:
• U.S. Core PCE (April) – critical for inflation outlook
• EU HICP (May) – will shape ECB rate cut expectations for June
Gold remains caught between macro-driven demand and technical exhaustion — creating opportunities for range-based trading.
📉 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (H1/H4)
Price broke below the rising trendline and is now trading under the EMA 13, 34, and 89, confirming a bearish shift in short-term momentum.
The 3284 – 3286 region aligns with a previous Fair Value Gap (FVG), EMA200 (H4), and structural support — a strong potential buy zone.
If this level fails, deeper pullback toward the 3247 – 3250 region (major FVG zone) becomes likely.
🔑 TRADE SETUP ZONES
🟢 PRIMARY BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3286 – 3284
Stop-Loss: 3280
Take-Profit: 3290 → 3294 → 3298 → 3302 → 3310 → 3320
🟢 BUY SCALP:
Entry: 3298 – 3296
Stop-Loss: 3292
Take-Profit: 3302 → 3306 → 3310 → 3314 → 3320 → 3330
🔴 SELL SCALP:
Entry: 3346 – 3348
Stop-Loss: 3350
Take-Profit: 3342 → 3338 → 3334 → 3330 → 3320 → 3310
🔴 STRONG SELL ZONE:
Entry: 3364 – 3366
Stop-Loss: 3370
Take-Profit: 3360 → 3356 → 3352 → 3348 → 3344 → 3340 → 3330
⚠️ STRATEGIC INSIGHTS
Selling on retracements below 3348 is favorable unless a strong breakout above 3366 occurs.
Buying is only valid near 3284 with confirmation of bullish structure (EMA support bounce or bullish engulfing pattern).
Avoid trading the mid-range between 3310–3330 unless a clear reversal setup forms — price action here remains noisy and indecisive.
⚜️ Trade with Money Market Flow, logic, Price action 📉📈
⚜️Risk Reward 1.3 to 2.5...
⚜️Daily 8 to 15 Signals Vip
⚜️Risk Reward 1.3 to 2.5...
⚜️Daily 8 to 15 Signals Vip
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
⚜️ Trade with Money Market Flow, logic, Price action 📉📈
⚜️Risk Reward 1.3 to 2.5...
⚜️Daily 8 to 15 Signals Vip
⚜️Risk Reward 1.3 to 2.5...
⚜️Daily 8 to 15 Signals Vip
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.