🧠 Macro Outlook – Eyes on Thursday
CPI is done. The next major catalyst? A full lineup of USD data + Powell speaking tomorrow, Thursday, May 15.
📊 Key Events – May 15 (NY Session)
🟩 Core PPI m/m → Forecast: 0.3% (prev. -0.1%)
🟩 Retail Sales m/m → Forecast: 0.0% (prev. 1.4%)
🟩 Core Retail Sales m/m → Forecast: 0.3%
🟩 Unemployment Claims → Forecast: 229K
🟧 Empire State + Philly Fed Manufacturing Indexes
🔴 ⚠️ Fed Chair Powell Speaks
This is not a light news day. It’s a full macro storm. Expect strong reactions from gold depending on how inflation, retail demand, and Powell’s tone align.
🔍 Market Flow – Price Action Overview
Gold remains in a retracement phase after bouncing cleanly from 3215–3225.
It’s now consolidating at 3244–3252, a mid-range supply zone. Above this, we track a clear mitigation path toward untouched OBs and FVGs.
No structure has broken cleanly to confirm bullish reversal yet — so we remain reactive, not predictive.
🧱 Sniper Mitigation Map
🔢 📍 Zone ⏳ Status ⚙️ Reason
1️⃣ 3244–3252 🔄 In play Mid-range supply zone currently in test
2️⃣ 3280–3288 ❗Unmitigated M30 OB + inefficiency pre-CPI
3️⃣ 3315–3320 ❗Unmitigated Asian session FVG / Gap
4️⃣ 3330–3338 ❗Unmitigated H1–H4 bearish OB (key reversal area)
5️⃣ 3350–3360 ⚠️ Only if structure shifts Upper OB — reserved for extreme flow
📌 Key Technical Zones
Zone Type Level Context
✅ Demand Zone 3215–3225 Confirmed post-CPI bounce zone
🔄 Active Supply 3244–3252 Current area of compression
🟧 M30 OB 3280–3288 Clean bearish OB not yet tested
🟥 FVG Magnet 3315–3320 Asia imbalance likely to attract price
🟥 HTF OB 3330–3338 Valid HTF reversal supply
⚠️ Upper OB 3350–3360 Only if 3338 breaks with strength
🧠 How to Use This Plan
Watch what price does at each zone, then build your own plan based on confirmations like BOS, CHoCH, rejection wicks, or liquidity sweeps.
Scenarios:
Tap & reject 3288? → Short scalp idea back to 3244
Break above 3288? → 3315–3320 becomes next magnet
Strong reaction at 3330–3338? → HTF sell zone in play
Powell hawkish? → Gold likely pressured down from OBs
Powell dovish? → Price may reclaim above 3338
📣 Final Note
Thursday = 🔥 Macro Meltdown Day 🔥
Powell + inflation + retail data = high-probability moves. Let price lead. Don’t force early entries into chop.
💛 Appreciate clean, structured levels?
📲 Follow GoldFxMinds for daily updates — no fluff, just structure and timing.
— GoldFxMinds ✨📉
CPI is done. The next major catalyst? A full lineup of USD data + Powell speaking tomorrow, Thursday, May 15.
📊 Key Events – May 15 (NY Session)
🟩 Core PPI m/m → Forecast: 0.3% (prev. -0.1%)
🟩 Retail Sales m/m → Forecast: 0.0% (prev. 1.4%)
🟩 Core Retail Sales m/m → Forecast: 0.3%
🟩 Unemployment Claims → Forecast: 229K
🟧 Empire State + Philly Fed Manufacturing Indexes
🔴 ⚠️ Fed Chair Powell Speaks
This is not a light news day. It’s a full macro storm. Expect strong reactions from gold depending on how inflation, retail demand, and Powell’s tone align.
🔍 Market Flow – Price Action Overview
Gold remains in a retracement phase after bouncing cleanly from 3215–3225.
It’s now consolidating at 3244–3252, a mid-range supply zone. Above this, we track a clear mitigation path toward untouched OBs and FVGs.
No structure has broken cleanly to confirm bullish reversal yet — so we remain reactive, not predictive.
🧱 Sniper Mitigation Map
🔢 📍 Zone ⏳ Status ⚙️ Reason
1️⃣ 3244–3252 🔄 In play Mid-range supply zone currently in test
2️⃣ 3280–3288 ❗Unmitigated M30 OB + inefficiency pre-CPI
3️⃣ 3315–3320 ❗Unmitigated Asian session FVG / Gap
4️⃣ 3330–3338 ❗Unmitigated H1–H4 bearish OB (key reversal area)
5️⃣ 3350–3360 ⚠️ Only if structure shifts Upper OB — reserved for extreme flow
📌 Key Technical Zones
Zone Type Level Context
✅ Demand Zone 3215–3225 Confirmed post-CPI bounce zone
🔄 Active Supply 3244–3252 Current area of compression
🟧 M30 OB 3280–3288 Clean bearish OB not yet tested
🟥 FVG Magnet 3315–3320 Asia imbalance likely to attract price
🟥 HTF OB 3330–3338 Valid HTF reversal supply
⚠️ Upper OB 3350–3360 Only if 3338 breaks with strength
🧠 How to Use This Plan
Watch what price does at each zone, then build your own plan based on confirmations like BOS, CHoCH, rejection wicks, or liquidity sweeps.
Scenarios:
Tap & reject 3288? → Short scalp idea back to 3244
Break above 3288? → 3315–3320 becomes next magnet
Strong reaction at 3330–3338? → HTF sell zone in play
Powell hawkish? → Gold likely pressured down from OBs
Powell dovish? → Price may reclaim above 3338
📣 Final Note
Thursday = 🔥 Macro Meltdown Day 🔥
Powell + inflation + retail data = high-probability moves. Let price lead. Don’t force early entries into chop.
💛 Appreciate clean, structured levels?
📲 Follow GoldFxMinds for daily updates — no fluff, just structure and timing.
— GoldFxMinds ✨📉
GoldFxMinds | XAUUSD Sniper Plans, Structure-Driven Bias & Execution Clarity
Free: t.me/GoldMindsFX_AI
VIP: t.me/GoldMindsFX_A
1-on-1 Coaching: t.me/GoldFxMinds
Free: t.me/GoldMindsFX_AI
VIP: t.me/GoldMindsFX_A
1-on-1 Coaching: t.me/GoldFxMinds
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
GoldFxMinds | XAUUSD Sniper Plans, Structure-Driven Bias & Execution Clarity
Free: t.me/GoldMindsFX_AI
VIP: t.me/GoldMindsFX_A
1-on-1 Coaching: t.me/GoldFxMinds
Free: t.me/GoldMindsFX_AI
VIP: t.me/GoldMindsFX_A
1-on-1 Coaching: t.me/GoldFxMinds
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.