Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Short
Updated

Gold Technical Analysis - Potential Rising Wedge Signals Caution

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Gold (XAU/USD) is trading around $3,340 - $3,350 area, exhibiting a bullish market structure characterized by higher highs and higher lows. The price has recently tested the resistance zone between $3,330 and $3,350, a level that has previously acted as a ceiling for upward movements. A decisive break above this resistance could pave the way for further gains, with potential targets at $3,371 and beyond. Conversely, failure to sustain above this level may lead to a pullback toward the support zone around $3,300.

The rising wedge on Gold signals caution for bulls. Unless there's a strong breakout above $3,365, the pattern favors a bearish move toward $3,250 or lower.

Long Bias – Bullish Outlook
Gold is currently trading in an uptrend, supported by:
Higher lows and higher highs structure.
Strong bullish momentum on the rebound from the recent dip around $3,120.
Fundamentals like economic uncertainty, interest rate cut expectations, or geopolitical tension that often support gold prices.

If price breaks and holds above $3,350–$3,365, it would confirm bullish continuation, and a long position targeting $3,400–$3,500 is valid.

🔻 Short Setup – Bearish Outlook
Consider a short trade only if:
Price gets rejected from $3,350–$3,365.
A lower high is confirmed (on H4 or Daily TF).
Bearish candlestick patterns appear at resistance.
Break below $3,300 would open downside targets to $3,250, and potentially $3,200.

⚠️ Caution Zone – Potential Pullback
However, there are early signs of exhaustion:
Price is testing a descending trendline + previous weekly high (~$3,330–$3,350) – a key decision point.
If rejection is confirmed, we might see a retest of support near $3,300 or $3,250.

📊 Current Market Structure
Chart Pattern: Rising Wedge
Timeframe: 4H and Daily
Resistance Trendline: Connecting recent highs around $3,320 → $3,350 → $3,365
Support Trendline: Connecting higher lows around $3,250 → $3,300 → $3,330

Note
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Trade active
Gold has broken rising wedge to the downside after testing $3,340 - $3,350 and now this suggests a potential shift from the previous uptrend to a downtrend. Gold is trading around $3,324. The breakdown from the wedge indicates increased selling pressure.

Key Support Levels:
$3,320: A critical level; falling below this may accelerate the downtrend.
$3,288: Next significant support; aligns with previous consolidation zones.

Key Resistance Levels:
$3,350: Near-term resistance; a retest and failure to break above could confirm bearish momentum.
$3,357 - $3,365: Stronger resistance zone; surpassing this range may invalidate the bearish outlook.

Recent geopolitical developments, including the delay in U.S. tariffs on the European Union, have reduced immediate safe-haven demand for gold. Additionally, expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts and a weakening U.S. dollar continue to influence gold prices.
Trade closed: target reached
Our target has been hit at $3,250
snapshot

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