🟡 GOLD CRASHES HARD — BUT THE BIG SHORT VIEW WAS ALREADY IN PLAY
Gold dropped — and dropped even harder than expected.
But for those following closely, this wasn’t a surprise.
From the start of April, we had been watching for signs of reversal after gold kept printing new ATHs. The candlestick behavior on the higher timeframes was already hinting at exhaustion — and today’s move validated that broader view.
🔍 Why I’ve Been Calling for a BIG SHORT — Not Just in Gold
This isn’t just about XAUUSD.
Zoom out and you’ll see the signs across the board:
US, EU, and Asian stock markets are in a steep decline
Crypto is stagnant, with no new capital inflow and little investor interest
And gold — after a historic run — is now facing intense profit-taking pressure, especially under growing geopolitical and global trade risks
In this environment, many investors are moving to cash and staying on the sidelines.
📉 DXY: A Potential Comeback?
The USD Index (DXY) has been heavily sold off in recent months.
But if you look closely — it's now testing a multi-year support zone that's held strong for nearly 3 years.
AD’s view?
If this level holds — and if recent tariff policies + international pressure from Trump continue — we could see a real USD recovery in the coming weeks.
Trump appears to be playing hardball — not just for his own benefit, but strategically for the U.S.
His aggressive trade moves are forcing nations to reconsider tariff terms. And in the short term, that puts Trump in a position of power — globally.
🤔 The Fed’s Dilemma
Even as Trump escalates trade pressure, the Fed remains cautious.
They’ve held back from rate cuts — waiting for clearer outcomes from these global negotiations.
All eyes are now on Trump’s next moves — and how other major economies will respond.
🔮 Strategy Moving Forward
Many investors are still in risk-off mode, hoarding cash and waiting for further declines.
AD still expects further downside in gold next week, alongside a potential short-term bounce in DXY.
→ After that, once the trade talk dust settles, we could very well see Gold resume its climb, while USD retests major supports on the D1 timeframe.
📌 I’ll be back with a full weekly outlook tomorrow, but for now — absorb this Gold/USD landscape and build your strategy for the new week.
Stay sharp & protect your capital.
— AD | Money Market Flow
Gold dropped — and dropped even harder than expected.
But for those following closely, this wasn’t a surprise.
From the start of April, we had been watching for signs of reversal after gold kept printing new ATHs. The candlestick behavior on the higher timeframes was already hinting at exhaustion — and today’s move validated that broader view.
🔍 Why I’ve Been Calling for a BIG SHORT — Not Just in Gold
This isn’t just about XAUUSD.
Zoom out and you’ll see the signs across the board:
US, EU, and Asian stock markets are in a steep decline
Crypto is stagnant, with no new capital inflow and little investor interest
And gold — after a historic run — is now facing intense profit-taking pressure, especially under growing geopolitical and global trade risks
In this environment, many investors are moving to cash and staying on the sidelines.
📉 DXY: A Potential Comeback?
The USD Index (DXY) has been heavily sold off in recent months.
But if you look closely — it's now testing a multi-year support zone that's held strong for nearly 3 years.
AD’s view?
If this level holds — and if recent tariff policies + international pressure from Trump continue — we could see a real USD recovery in the coming weeks.
Trump appears to be playing hardball — not just for his own benefit, but strategically for the U.S.
His aggressive trade moves are forcing nations to reconsider tariff terms. And in the short term, that puts Trump in a position of power — globally.
🤔 The Fed’s Dilemma
Even as Trump escalates trade pressure, the Fed remains cautious.
They’ve held back from rate cuts — waiting for clearer outcomes from these global negotiations.
All eyes are now on Trump’s next moves — and how other major economies will respond.
🔮 Strategy Moving Forward
Many investors are still in risk-off mode, hoarding cash and waiting for further declines.
AD still expects further downside in gold next week, alongside a potential short-term bounce in DXY.
→ After that, once the trade talk dust settles, we could very well see Gold resume its climb, while USD retests major supports on the D1 timeframe.
📌 I’ll be back with a full weekly outlook tomorrow, but for now — absorb this Gold/USD landscape and build your strategy for the new week.
Stay sharp & protect your capital.
— AD | Money Market Flow
⚜️ Trade with Money Market Flow, logic, Price action 📉📈
⚜️Risk Reward 1.3 to 2.5...
⚜️Daily 7 to 15 Signals Vip
⚜️Risk Reward 1.3 to 2.5...
⚜️Daily 7 to 15 Signals Vip
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
⚜️ Trade with Money Market Flow, logic, Price action 📉📈
⚜️Risk Reward 1.3 to 2.5...
⚜️Daily 7 to 15 Signals Vip
⚜️Risk Reward 1.3 to 2.5...
⚜️Daily 7 to 15 Signals Vip
Related publications
Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.